Golden State at Seattle: Box Score Simulation

Friday May 8, 2026 10:00 pm - Seattle, WA
Odds: Golden State by 5.5, Total Points: 156.5

Matchup Menu: GSV @ SEA

More Games From May 8, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSV SEA
Points 84.7 74.2
Total Points   158.9
Points From 2-Pointers 31.4 31.0
Points From 3-Pointers 34.5 28.2
Points From Free Throws 18.8 15.0
Shooting GSV SEA
Field Goals Made 27.2 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 71.0 64.8
Field Goal % 38.3% 38.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 38.6
2 Point Shooting % 44.2% 40.1%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 35.5 26.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 18.8 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 19.0
Free Throw % 79.3% 78.7%
Ball Control GSV SEA
Rebounds 47.1 40.5
Rebounds - Defensive 33.3 32.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.8 8.1
Turnovers 9.0 13.0
Blocked Shots 5.1 4.1
Steals 6.9 4.7
Fouls 16.3 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSV SEA
Total Possessions 80.5
Effective Scoring Chances 85.2 75.7
% of Possessions with GSV SEA
2 Point Attempt 37.1% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 37.0% 28.8%
Player Fouled 22.4% 20.3%
Turnover 11.2% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken GSV SEA
Shot Blocked 6.5% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 19.6%