Golden State at New York: Box Score Simulation

Thursday May 21, 2026 8:00 pm - Brooklyn, NY
Odds: New York by 5.5, Total Points: 168.5

Matchup Menu: GSV @ NYL

More Games From May 21, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSV NYL
Points 82.5 79.6
Total Points   162.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 32.7
Points From 3-Pointers 32.5 28.2
Points From Free Throws 13.5 18.8
Shooting GSV NYL
Field Goals Made 29.0 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 73.2 60.9
Field Goal % 39.7% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.5 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.1% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 10.8 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 33.7 26.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 13.5 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 21.9
Free Throw % 77.9% 85.5%
Ball Control GSV NYL
Rebounds 39.9 42.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 34.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 8.5
Turnovers 8.0 14.1
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.2
Steals 6.8 3.9
Fouls 18.9 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSV NYL
Total Possessions 79.7
Effective Scoring Chances 83.6 74.1
% of Possessions with GSV NYL
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 38.0%
3 Point Attempt 36.3% 29.8%
Player Fouled 21.3% 23.7%
Turnover 10.0% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 4.9% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken GSV NYL
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 23.3%