Connecticut at New York: Box Score Simulation

Friday May 8, 2026 7:30 pm - Brooklyn, NY
Odds: New York by 9.5, Total Points: 159.5

Matchup Menu: CON @ NYL

More Games From May 8, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Early Season Warning: This simulation relies purely on current-season statistics and results, which means there isn't enough data to make very good predictions until roughly a month's worth of games have been played. We recommend you ignore this box score until June 15; however, due to a high volume of user requests we will leave it un-hidden during this early adjustment period.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CON NYL
Points 79.0 90.9
Total Points   169.9
Points From 2-Pointers 48.8 40.8
Points From 3-Pointers 16.0 25.1
Points From Free Throws 14.2 25.0
Shooting CON NYL
Field Goals Made 29.7 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 70.6 60.2
Field Goal % 42.1% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 24.4 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 50.4 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 26.4% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 14.2 25.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 28.8
Free Throw % 66.9% 86.8%
Ball Control CON NYL
Rebounds 35.9 42.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 33.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 8.6
Turnovers 11.5 15.1
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.1
Steals 7.4 6.1
Fouls 22.7 19.4

Playing Style Advantage: Connecticut

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CON NYL
Total Possessions 84.0
Effective Scoring Chances 83.7 77.5
% of Possessions with CON NYL
2 Point Attempt 52.3% 38.9%
3 Point Attempt 20.9% 24.9%
Player Fouled 23.0% 27.1%
Turnover 13.7% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CON NYL
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 25.8%