Washington at Toronto: Box Score Simulation

Friday May 8, 2026 7:30 pm - Toronto, ON
Odds: Toronto by 1.5, Total Points: 160.5

Matchup Menu: WAS @ TOR

More Games From May 8, 2026

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAS TOR
Points 89.5 89.0
Total Points   178.4
Points From 2-Pointers 48.4 39.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.3 28.0
Points From Free Throws 21.7 21.6
Shooting WAS TOR
Field Goals Made 30.6 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 64.5 65.6
Field Goal % 47.5% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 24.2 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 43.5 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 21.7 21.6
Free Throws Attempted 28.8 26.1
Free Throw % 75.5% 82.6%
Ball Control WAS TOR
Rebounds 43.8 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 30.5 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 8.5
Turnovers 15.3 12.1
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.2
Steals 4.6 10.3
Fouls 20.2 23.3

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAS TOR
Total Possessions 85.0
Effective Scoring Chances 82.9 81.4
% of Possessions with WAS TOR
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 26.7%
Player Fouled 27.4% 23.8%
Turnover 18.0% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 12.2% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAS TOR
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 35.1% 21.9%