New York at Los Angeles: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Jun 21, 2026 8:00 pm - Los Angeles, CA
Odds: New York by 5.5, Total Points: 181.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NYL LAS
Points 94.6 87.1
Total Points   181.7
Points From 2-Pointers 44.6 46.2
Points From 3-Pointers 31.2 26.1
Points From Free Throws 18.8 14.9
Shooting NYL LAS
Field Goals Made 32.7 31.8
Field Goals Attempted 67.4 71.1
Field Goal % 48.5% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 22.3 23.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.1 43.2
2 Point Shooting % 61.7% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 10.4 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 31.3 27.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 18.8 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 18.8
Free Throw % 86.0% 78.9%
Ball Control NYL LAS
Rebounds 42.5 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 32.4 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 8.7
Turnovers 13.9 11.6
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.7
Steals 6.4 7.0
Fouls 18.8 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: Los Angeles

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NYL LAS
Total Possessions 85.0
Effective Scoring Chances 81.2 82.1
% of Possessions with NYL LAS
2 Point Attempt 37.6% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.6% 29.3%
Player Fouled 22.4% 22.1%
Turnover 16.3% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NYL LAS
Shot Blocked 3.9% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 21.1%