Portland at New York: Box Score Simulation

Monday May 25, 2026 8:00 pm - Brooklyn, NY
Odds: New York by 10.5, Total Points: 172.5

Matchup Menu: PDX @ NYL

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NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PDX NYL
Points 83.5 91.0
Total Points   174.5
Points From 2-Pointers 39.9 40.4
Points From 3-Pointers 30.1 30.3
Points From Free Throws 13.6 20.3
Shooting PDX NYL
Field Goals Made 30.0 30.3
Field Goals Attempted 69.9 64.4
Field Goal % 42.9% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 30.0 29.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 13.6 20.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 23.6
Free Throw % 80.8% 86.0%
Ball Control PDX NYL
Rebounds 34.9 42.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 31.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 10.5
Turnovers 12.3 14.1
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.8
Steals 6.9 6.3
Fouls 20.6 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PDX NYL
Total Possessions 82.6
Effective Scoring Chances 80.1 79.0
% of Possessions with PDX NYL
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 36.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 31.5%
Player Fouled 19.7% 24.9%
Turnover 14.8% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PDX NYL
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 29.5%