Minnesota at Tampa Bay: Recap
Sunday Sep 27, 2026 4:05 pm -
Tampa, FL
Odds:
Tampa Bay by 1,
Total Points:
42.5
Matchup Menu: MIN @ TB
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | MIN | 48.7% | ||
| TB | 51.3% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB +1.5 | MIN | 46.3% | ||
| TB | 53.7% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 42.5 | Over | 51.9% | ||
| Under | 48.1% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB -103 | MIN | -4.8% | ||
| TB | +0.6% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 21.0 | 20 | 22.0 | 23 |
| TB | 22.0 | 23 | 20.5 | 16 |
NOTE: Predictions stop updating roughly 1 hour before game time.
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MIN | TB |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 4.4 | 5.0 |
| Points/Play | 0.360 | 0.329 |
| Rush Play % | 48.54% | 44.74% |
| Pass Play % | 51.46% | 55.26% |
| Completion % | 61.82% | 65.56% |
| 3D Conv % | 34.43% | 38.24% |
| RZ Scoring % | 50.00% | 47.06% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MIN | TB |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.9 | 5.3 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.214 | 0.396 |
| Opp Completion % | 51.14% | 66.27% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 22.64% | 33.87% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 18.18% | 53.85% |