This section is showing information as of the end the 2023-24 season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2024-25 NFL section (probably late May), register for a free account.

Tampa Bay at New England: Point Spread Line Movement

Sunday Oct 3, 2021 8:20 pm - Foxborough, MA
Odds: Tampa Bay by 6.5, Total Points: 49

TB -6.5 Open -2.5 High -7.0
Last -7.0 Low -2.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2016 NFL season there have been 121 games where the closing line favored the away team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Tampa Bay won the game 100 times (82.6%).
  • The team like New England won the game 21 times (17.4%).
  • The team like Tampa Bay did better against the spread, going 62-56-3 (52.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.0 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2018 NFL season there have been 20 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3.5 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like New England did better against the spread, going 13-7 (65.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 4.5 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -6.0 -7.0 -6.5
Open -5.5 -5.5 -6.5
History
10/03 08:22 PM -6.0 -- --
10/03 07:58 PM -6.5 -- --
10/03 07:55 PM -- -- -6.5
10/03 07:54 PM -- -7.0 --
10/03 07:18 PM -6.5 -- --
10/03 07:16 PM -- -7.0 --
10/03 06:37 PM -6.5 -- --
10/03 06:04 PM -- -7.0 --
10/03 05:52 PM -6.5 -- --
10/03 05:31 PM -6.5 -- --
10/03 05:25 PM -- -- -6.5
10/03 05:15 PM -- -- -6.5
10/03 04:49 PM -6.5 -- --
10/03 04:35 PM -- -- -6.5
10/03 04:22 PM -6.5 -- --
10/03 03:46 PM -6.5 -- --
10/03 03:01 PM -6.5 -- --
10/03 01:36 PM -6.5 -- --
10/03 12:54 PM -- -7.0 --
10/03 12:34 PM -- -7.0 --
10/03 12:17 PM -6.5 -- --
10/03 11:37 AM -6.5 -- --
10/03 11:04 AM -- -7.0 --
10/03 10:58 AM -6.5 -- --
10/03 10:44 AM -6.5 -- --
10/03 10:28 AM -6.5 -- --
10/03 10:15 AM -- -- -6.5
10/03 10:05 AM -- -- -7.0
10/03 10:04 AM -6.5 -- --
10/03 09:16 AM -6.5 -- --
10/03 02:34 AM -- -7.0 --
10/02 11:31 PM -6.5 -- --
10/02 08:11 PM -6.5 -- --
10/02 02:54 PM -- -7.0 --
10/02 01:24 PM -- -7.0 --
10/02 12:54 PM -- -7.0 --
10/02 11:41 AM -6.5 -- --
10/02 10:02 AM -6.5 -- --
10/02 05:04 AM -7.0 -- --
10/02 04:23 AM -7.0 -- --
10/02 04:17 AM -- -7.0 --
10/02 01:05 AM -7.0 -- --
10/01 10:54 PM -- -7.0 --
10/01 09:04 PM -- -7.0 --
10/01 08:49 PM -7.0 -- --
10/01 07:44 PM -- -7.0 --
10/01 07:02 PM -7.0 -- --
10/01 06:45 PM -- -- -7.0
10/01 05:55 PM -- -- -7.0
10/01 04:34 PM -- -7.0 --
10/01 04:26 PM -7.0 -- --
10/01 12:55 PM -- -- -7.0
10/01 08:34 AM -- -7.0 --
10/01 08:29 AM -7.0 -- --
10/01 03:14 AM -- -7.0 --
10/01 02:43 AM -7.0 -- --
10/01 12:15 AM -- -- -7.0
09/30 05:34 PM -- -7.0 --
09/30 04:49 PM -7.0 -- --
09/30 11:15 AM -- -- -7.0
09/30 11:14 AM -7.0 -- --
09/30 07:59 AM -7.0 -- --
09/30 07:15 AM -- -- -7.0
09/30 04:11 AM -7.0 -- --
09/29 05:29 PM -7.0 -- --
09/29 04:59 PM -7.0 -- --
09/29 04:38 PM -7.0 -- --
09/29 01:41 PM -7.0 -- --
09/29 12:15 PM -- -- -7.0
09/29 12:02 PM -7.0 -- --
09/29 11:17 AM -6.5 -- --
09/29 10:26 AM -6.5 -- --
09/29 10:04 AM -6.5 -- --
09/29 09:15 AM -- -- -6.5
09/29 09:13 AM -6.5 -- --
09/29 08:28 AM -6.5 -- --
09/29 06:58 AM -6.5 -- --
09/29 06:04 AM -6.5 -- --
09/29 05:14 AM -- -7.0 --
09/29 12:15 AM -- -- -6.5
09/28 09:08 PM -6.5 -- --
09/28 03:01 PM -6.5 -- --
09/28 02:14 PM -- -7.0 --
09/28 01:44 PM -- -6.5 --
09/28 01:14 PM -- -6.5 --
09/28 12:54 PM -- -6.5 --
09/28 12:49 PM -6.5 -- --
09/28 12:24 PM -- -6.5 --
09/28 11:54 AM -- -6.5 --
09/28 11:49 AM -6.5 -- --
09/28 11:24 AM -- -6.5 --
09/28 11:14 AM -- -6.5 --
09/28 11:05 AM -6.5 -- --
09/28 10:44 AM -- -6.5 --
09/28 10:40 AM -6.5 -- --
09/28 10:25 AM -- -- -6.5
09/28 10:24 AM -- -6.5 --
09/28 10:19 AM -6.5 -- --
09/28 10:14 AM -- -6.5 --
09/28 09:54 AM -- -6.5 --
09/28 09:24 AM -- -6.5 --
09/28 09:15 AM -- -- -6.5
09/28 09:04 AM -- -6.5 --
09/28 07:34 AM -- -6.5 --
09/28 07:15 AM -- -- -6.5
09/28 07:14 AM -- -6.5 --
09/28 06:24 AM -- -6.5 --
09/28 05:54 AM -- -6.5 --
09/28 05:34 AM -6.5 -- --
09/28 05:15 AM -- -6.5 --
09/28 04:34 AM -- -6.5 --
09/28 03:04 AM -- -6.5 --
09/28 02:45 AM -- -6.5 --
09/28 12:19 AM -6.5 -- --
09/27 11:35 PM -- -- -6.5
09/27 10:24 PM -- -6.5 --
09/27 10:04 PM -- -6.5 --
09/27 09:24 PM -- -6.5 --
09/27 08:34 PM -- -6.5 --
09/27 08:24 PM -- -6.5 --
09/27 07:34 PM -- -6.5 --
09/27 07:04 PM -- -6.5 --
09/27 06:44 PM -- -6.5 --
09/27 06:25 PM -6.5 -- --
09/27 05:46 PM -5.5 -- --
09/27 05:44 PM -- -6.5 --
09/27 04:25 PM -- -- -6.5
09/27 03:45 PM -5.5 -- --
09/27 03:40 PM -- -6.5 --
09/27 02:55 PM -5.5 -- --
09/27 02:54 PM -- -6.5 --
09/27 02:45 PM -- -- -6.5
09/27 02:34 PM -- -6.5 --
09/27 02:07 PM -5.5 -- --
09/27 01:44 PM -- -6.5 --
09/27 01:34 PM -5.5 -- --
09/27 01:24 PM -- -6.5 --
09/27 12:53 PM -- -6.5 --
09/27 12:34 PM -- -6.5 --
09/27 12:01 PM -5.5 -- --
09/27 11:54 AM -- -6.5 --
09/27 11:45 AM -- -- -6.5
09/27 11:34 AM -- -6.5 --
09/27 11:24 AM -- -5.5 --
09/27 11:04 AM -- -6.0 --
09/27 10:53 AM -5.5 -- --
09/27 10:39 AM -- -6.0 --
09/27 10:14 AM -- -5.5 --
09/27 09:44 AM -- -5.5 --
09/27 09:31 AM -5.5 -- --
09/27 09:24 AM -- -5.5 --
09/27 09:14 AM -- -5.5 --
09/27 08:54 AM -- -5.5 --
09/27 08:34 AM -- -5.5 --
09/27 08:19 AM -5.5 -- --
09/27 08:04 AM -- -5.5 --
09/27 07:14 AM -- -5.5 --
09/27 06:25 AM -- -5.5 --
09/27 05:54 AM -- -5.5 --
09/27 05:41 AM -5.5 -- --
09/27 05:04 AM -- -5.5 --
09/27 04:14 AM -- -5.5 --
09/27 03:44 AM -- -5.5 --
09/27 02:24 AM -- -6.0 --
09/27 02:10 AM -5.5 -- --
09/26 10:44 PM -- -5.5 --
09/26 10:31 PM -5.5 -- --
09/26 10:16 PM -5.5 -- --
09/26 10:04 PM -5.5 -- --
09/26 08:31 PM -5.5 -- --
09/26 11:44 AM -- -5.5 --
09/25 07:54 AM -- -5.5 --