Tampa Bay at Buffalo: Recap
Sunday Nov 16, 2025 1:00 pm -
Orchard Park, NY
Odds:
Buffalo by 6.5,
Total Points:
45.5
Matchup Menu: TB @ BUF
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | TB | 29.1% | ||
| BUF | 70.9% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF -6.0 | TB | 49.4% | ||
| BUF | 50.6% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 45.5 | Over | 49.5% | ||
| Under | 50.5% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | TB | -0.2% | ||
| BUF | -3.8% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 19.6 | 20 | 19.8 | 32 |
| BUF | 25.7 | 24 | 25.8 | 44 |
NOTE: Predictions stop updating roughly 1 hour before game time.
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TB | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 6.7 |
| Points/Play | 0.329 | 0.556 |
| Rush Play % | 44.74% | 49.83% |
| Pass Play % | 55.26% | 50.17% |
| Completion % | 65.56% | 65.94% |
| 3D Conv % | 38.24% | 50.00% |
| RZ Scoring % | 47.06% | 71.43% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TB | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.6 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.396 | 0.403 |
| Opp Completion % | 66.27% | 66.67% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 33.87% | 42.65% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 53.85% | 76.19% |