Buffalo at New England: Point Spread Line Movement

Sunday Oct 2, 2016 1:00 pm - Foxborough, MA
Odds: New England by 3.5, Total Points: 41

NE -3.5 Open -4.0 High -7.5
Last -6.0 Low -3.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2011 NFL season there have been 353 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like New England won the game 217 times (61.5%)
  • The team like Buffalo won the game 136 times (38.5%)
  • The team like Buffalo did better against the spread, going 175-170-8 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2013 NFL season there have been 8 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like New England went 4-4 (50.0% ATS).

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -3.5 -4.0 -3.5
Open -7.0 -6.5 -7.5
History
10/02 01:02 PM -3.5 -- --
10/02 12:44 PM -- -4.0 --
10/02 12:34 PM -- -3.5 --
10/02 12:32 PM -3.5 -- --
10/02 12:05 PM -- -- -3.5
10/02 11:32 AM -3.5 -- --
10/02 11:15 AM -- -- -3.5
10/02 10:54 AM -- -3.5 --
10/02 10:45 AM -- -- -3.5
10/02 10:42 AM -3.5 -- --
10/02 10:03 AM -- -6.5 --
10/02 10:02 AM -6.0 -- --
10/02 09:55 AM -- -- -6.0
10/02 09:23 AM -- -6.5 --
10/02 08:45 AM -- -- -6.5
10/02 08:02 AM -6.5 -- --
10/02 07:55 AM -- -- -6.5
10/02 07:05 AM -- -- -7.0
10/02 07:02 AM -7.0 -- --
10/02 03:32 AM -7.0 -- --
10/02 01:42 AM -7.0 -- --
10/02 01:25 AM -- -- -7.0
10/01 10:53 PM -- -7.0 --
10/01 09:52 PM -7.0 -- --
10/01 04:44 PM -- -7.5 --
10/01 04:42 PM -7.0 -- --
10/01 04:35 PM -- -- -7.0
10/01 12:44 PM -- -7.5 --
10/01 12:25 PM -- -- -7.5
10/01 11:54 AM -- -7.5 --
09/30 07:24 PM -- -7.5 --
09/30 05:34 PM -- -7.5 --
09/30 04:44 PM -- -7.0 --
09/30 02:54 PM -- -7.0 --
09/30 02:14 PM -- -6.5 --