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Make Tournament

74.7%

Automatic Bid

17.0%

At Large Bid

57.7%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (8.4%)

Final Four

7.1%

NCAA Champs

1.6%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 99.9%
18 98.6%
17 93.8%
16 78.8%
15 55.6%
14 23.6%
13 6.6%
12 1.1%
11 0.4%
OVERALL 74.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 6.2% 6.6%
2 8.4% 3.4%
3 8.0% 2.1%
4 7.3% 1.4%
5 6.7% 0.9%
6 6.1% 0.8%
7 5.6% 0.5%
8 5.3% 0.4%
9 5.0% 0.4%
10 4.8% 0.2%
11 4.6% 0.2%
12 4.6% 0.1%
13 1.8% 0.1%
14 0.3% 0.1%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.6%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.