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Make Tournament

74.4%

Automatic Bid

15.5%

At Large Bid

58.9%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (6.6%)

Final Four

6.2%

NCAA Champs

1.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 99.9%
17 99.2%
16 94.9%
15 77.2%
14 45.8%
13 15.2%
12 2.8%
11 0.0%
OVERALL 74.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 3.0% 8.4%
2 5.5% 4.5%
3 6.3% 3.1%
4 6.6% 1.8%
5 6.5% 1.2%
6 6.3% 0.9%
7 6.2% 0.7%
8 6.1% 0.5%
9 6.1% 0.4%
10 6.2% 0.3%
11 6.4% 0.2%
12 6.6% 0.1%
13 2.3% 0.1%
14 0.3% 0.1%
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.