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Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

79.3%

At Large Bid

20.7%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (25.5%)

Final Four

9.7%

NCAA Champs

1.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
21 100.0%
20 99.9%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.1% -
2 1.5% 2.8%
3 5.2% 2.6%
4 14.7% 2.1%
5 25.5% 1.7%
6 23.5% 1.6%
7 15.1% 1.7%
8 8.1% 1.4%
9 3.9% 1.1%
10 1.7% 2.3%
11 0.7% 1.8%
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.