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Make Tournament

100.0%

Automatic Bid

26.9%

At Large Bid

73.1%

Most Likely Seed

#5 (22.7%)

Final Four

8.7%

NCAA Champs

1.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 99.8%
OVERALL 100.0%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.2% -
2 4.5% 2.0%
3 12.4% 1.9%
4 20.6% 1.6%
5 22.7% 1.3%
6 17.8% 1.2%
7 11.0% 1.1%
8 5.8% 1.0%
9 2.8% 0.8%
10 1.3% 1.0%
11 0.5% 1.2%
12 0.2% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.