Portland St at N Colorado: Box Score Simulation

Monday Feb 10, 2020 9:00 pm - Greeley, CO
Odds: Northern Colorado by 9, Total Points: 147.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PRST UNCO
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 47.2
Field Goal % 40.9% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 45.0 30.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.1% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 14.6 16.8
3 Point Shooting % 24.9% 31.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 28.9
Free Throw % 69.2% 67.0%
Ball Control PRST UNCO
Rebounds 37.3 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 5.1
Turnovers 10.5 13.5
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.4
Steals 7.6 3.4
Fouls 21.8 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PRST UNCO
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PRST UNCO
2 Point Attempt 53.5% 38.5%
3 Point Attempt 17.4% 21.2%
Player Fouled 23.2% 30.1%
Turnover 14.5% 18.6%
Opponent Steal 4.7% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PRST UNCO
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 16.2%