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Missouri at Tennessee: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 11, 2023 6:00 pm - Knoxville, TN
Odds: Tennessee by 12.5, Total Points: 142

Matchup Menu: MIZZ @ TENN

More Games From Feb 11, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIZZ TENN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MIZZ TENN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 58.4
Field Goal % 36.2% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 41.9% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 26.4
3 Point Shooting % 28.5% 36.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 27.9
Free Throw % 78.9% 75.4%
Ball Control MIZZ TENN
Rebounds 30.0 43.5
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 14.6
Turnovers 12.3 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.0
Steals 6.1 7.1
Fouls 18.6 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIZZ TENN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MIZZ TENN
2 Point Attempt 39.1% 36.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 30.4%
Player Fouled 22.1% 26.2%
Turnover 17.3% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIZZ TENN
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 40.3%