North Carolina at NC State: Recap

Tuesday Feb 17, 2026 7:00 pm - Raleigh, NC
Odds: NC State by 8, Total Points: 155.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
NC State UNC 24.0%
NCST 76.0%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
UNC +8.0 UNC 50.4%
NCST 49.6%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 155.5 Over 47.6%
Under 52.4%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off UNC -1.2%
NCST -2.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
UNC 73.3 73.8 58
NCST 81.2 81.8 82

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat UNC NCST
Points/Game 80.4 83.5
Avg Score Margin +9.6 +7.8
Assists/Game 16.1 15.9
Total Rebounds/Gm 38.3 35.0
Effective FG % 54.5% 55.1%
Off Rebound % 29.7% 27.1%
FTA/FGA 0.386 0.337
Turnover % 11.9% 11.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat UNC NCST
Opp Points/Game 70.9 75.7
Opp Effective FG % 47.9% 52.3%
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.1 8.9
Def Rebounds/Gm 25.8 23.2
Blocks/Game 3.4 3.3
Steals/Game 5.5 8.3
Personal Fouls/Gm 14.5 18.3