Louisville at SMU: Recap

Tuesday Feb 17, 2026 7:00 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: Louisville by 4, Total Points: 168

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Louisville LOU 60.7%
SMU 39.3%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
SMU +4.0 LOU 47.7%
SMU 52.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 168.0 Over 47.9%
Under 52.1%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
SMU +161 LOU -4.2%
SMU +1.0%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
LOU 85.2 86.0 85
SMU 81.8 82.0 95

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat LOU SMU
Points/Game 85.7 85.2
Avg Score Margin +13.8 +7.3
Assists/Game 17.3 17.3
Total Rebounds/Gm 39.3 37.6
Effective FG % 56.4% 56.1%
Off Rebound % 32.1% 32.1%
FTA/FGA 0.333 0.323
Turnover % 14.2% 13.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat LOU SMU
Opp Points/Game 71.9 78.0
Opp Effective FG % 48.2% 51.2%
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.4 10.0
Def Rebounds/Gm 26.7 24.2
Blocks/Game 3.3 3.7
Steals/Game 7.1 7.1
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.6 17.0