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S Illinois at S Indiana: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Nov 13, 2022 4:00 pm - Evansville, IN
Odds: Southern Illinois by 9.5, Total Points: 137.5

Matchup Menu: SIU @ USI

More Games From Nov 13, 2022

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SIU USI
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SIU USI
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 48.3 52.0
Field Goal % 46.9% 39.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 25.7 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 57.7% 43.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 14.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 29.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 30.6 22.8
Free Throw % 77.2% 75.1%
Ball Control SIU USI
Rebounds 33.6 30.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 22.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 8.3
Turnovers 9.9 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.6
Steals 5.5 5.0
Fouls 18.4 21.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SIU USI
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SIU USI
2 Point Attempt 33.1% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 18.9%
Player Fouled 31.1% 26.6%
Turnover 14.3% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SIU USI
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 23.9%