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SE Missouri at McNeese St : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 18, 2012 4:00 pm - Lake Charles, LA
Odds: McNeese St. by 4.5, Total Points: 137.5

More Games From Feb 18, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEMO MNST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SEMO MNST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 61.8 59.9
Field Goal % 42.0% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 45.7 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.5% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.0 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 33.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 19.6
Free Throw % 66.3% 68.5%
Ball Control SEMO MNST
Rebounds 39.2 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 9.5
Turnovers 10.5 11.3
Blocked Shots 1.5 4.7
Steals 6.3 5.0
Fouls 15.0 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEMO MNST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SEMO MNST
2 Point Attempt 52.0% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 18.2% 27.2%
Player Fouled 21.4% 20.2%
Turnover 14.1% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEMO MNST
Shot Blocked 7.9% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 25.6%