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Mississippi vs. Geo Mason: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Nov 19, 2015 12:00 pm - Charleston, SC (Neutral Site)
Odds: Mississippi by 12, Total Points: 142

Matchup Menu: MISS @ GMU

More Games From Nov 19, 2015

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MISS GMU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MISS GMU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 54.5
Field Goal % 42.5% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 47.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 34.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 20.5
Free Throw % 73.0% 74.1%
Ball Control MISS GMU
Rebounds 33.1 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 11.0
Turnovers 9.0 11.7
Blocked Shots 6.1 2.1
Steals 7.3 4.8
Fouls 14.8 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MISS GMU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MISS GMU
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 24.2%
Player Fouled 22.3% 22.0%
Turnover 13.3% 17.4%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 10.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MISS GMU
Shot Blocked 4.0% 10.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 32.8%