Pittsburgh vs. Duquesne : Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Nov 30, 2011 7:00 pm - Pittsburgh, PA (Neutral Site)
Odds: Pittsburgh by 4.5, Total Points: 152.5

More Games From Nov 30, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PITT DUQ
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PITT DUQ
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 59.8
Field Goal % 43.3% 39.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 40.1 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 27.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 27.6 19.6
Free Throw % 71.7% 72.1%
Ball Control PITT DUQ
Rebounds 38.5 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 12.5
Turnovers 14.6 15.7
Blocked Shots 4.8 8.0
Steals 6.2 7.6
Fouls 16.1 19.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PITT DUQ
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PITT DUQ
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 37.7%
3 Point Attempt 18.6% 28.6%
Player Fouled 25.5% 21.2%
Turnover 19.3% 20.8%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken PITT DUQ
Shot Blocked 13.7% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 33.3% 32.1%