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App State at Elon: Box Score Simulation

Monday Feb 6, 2012 7:00 pm - Elon, NC
Odds: Elon University by 2, Total Points: 140

Matchup Menu: APP @ ELON

More Games From Feb 6, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring APP ELON
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting APP ELON
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 62.8 63.2
Field Goal % 51.2% 35.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 58.5% 37.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 31.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 14.5
Free Throw % 69.5% 68.8%
Ball Control APP ELON
Rebounds 43.4 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 32.0 22.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 10.3
Turnovers 8.8 9.9
Blocked Shots 6.5 1.6
Steals 5.4 5.9
Fouls 11.9 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats APP ELON
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with APP ELON
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 28.6%
Player Fouled 18.1% 16.8%
Turnover 12.5% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken APP ELON
Shot Blocked 2.7% 10.5%
Offensive Rebound 33.9% 24.4%