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IUPUI at IPFW: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jan 25, 2023 7:00 pm - Fort Wayne, IN
Odds: Purdue Fort Wayne by 18, Total Points: 139.5

Matchup Menu: INDPU @ PFW

More Games From Jan 25, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring INDPU PFW
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting INDPU PFW
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.6 58.9
Field Goal % 44.6% 51.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 60.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 12.0 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 24.5% 39.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 17.7
Free Throw % 72.7% 71.8%
Ball Control INDPU PFW
Rebounds 30.6 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.2 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 8.3
Turnovers 17.5 10.9
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.2
Steals 6.4 9.5
Fouls 14.9 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INDPU PFW
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with INDPU PFW
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 14.8% 30.2%
Player Fouled 20.0% 20.5%
Turnover 24.1% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 13.0% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken INDPU PFW
Shot Blocked 5.5% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.0% 26.4%