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Indiana at Arkansas: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Nov 18, 2018 3:30 pm - Fayetteville, AR
Odds: Indiana by 3.5, Total Points: 150

Matchup Menu: IND @ ARK

More Games From Nov 18, 2018

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring IND ARK
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting IND ARK
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 58.3
Field Goal % 46.2% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 42.4 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 14.3 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 31.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 27.1 24.6
Free Throw % 65.9% 76.5%
Ball Control IND ARK
Rebounds 38.4 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 8.5
Turnovers 10.9 9.7
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.7
Steals 4.5 6.9
Fouls 17.5 19.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats IND ARK
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with IND ARK
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 16.7% 24.2%
Player Fouled 25.8% 23.6%
Turnover 14.7% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken IND ARK
Shot Blocked 8.1% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 22.6%