Vanderbilt at Mississippi: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 29, 2020 1:00 pm - Oxford, MS
Odds: Mississippi by 10.5, Total Points: 139.5

More Games From Feb 29, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring VAN MISS
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting VAN MISS
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 54.4
Field Goal % 42.2% 50.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 28.1 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 45.6% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.7 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 32.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 22.3
Free Throw % 74.9% 65.2%
Ball Control VAN MISS
Rebounds 31.2 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 8.0
Turnovers 15.1 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.4
Steals 4.7 7.3
Fouls 16.8 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VAN MISS
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with VAN MISS
2 Point Attempt 35.0% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.0% 21.9%
Player Fouled 22.8% 23.6%
Turnover 21.3% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken VAN MISS
Shot Blocked 8.2% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 25.1%