Coastal Car at App State: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 29, 2020 4:30 pm - Boone, NC
Odds: Appalachian St. by 4, Total Points: 145.5

More Games From Feb 29, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring CCU APP
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting CCU APP
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 56.8
Field Goal % 47.3% 39.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 30.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 43.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 26.0
3 Point Shooting % 42.1% 34.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 11.6 21.0
Free Throw % 76.4% 73.1%
Ball Control CCU APP
Rebounds 39.4 30.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 21.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 9.4
Turnovers 13.3 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.0
Steals 5.9 6.4
Fouls 15.8 11.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CCU APP
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with CCU APP
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 38.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 32.1%
Player Fouled 16.6% 22.5%
Turnover 19.0% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CCU APP
Shot Blocked 3.6% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 34.9% 25.3%