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Virginia vs. Duke: Recap

Saturday Mar 14, 2026 8:30 pm - Charlotte, NC (Neutral Site)
Odds: Duke by 6.5, Total Points: 139.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Duke UVA 25.6%
DUKE 74.4%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
DUKE -6.5 UVA 46.7%
DUKE 53.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 139.5 Over 47.0%
Under 53.0%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off UVA -4.7%
DUKE -0.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
UVA 65.4 66.5 70
DUKE 72.8 73.0 74

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat UVA DUKE
Points/Game 80.4 81.6
Avg Score Margin +11.6 +18.0
Assists/Game 16.3 16.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 40.0 40.3
Effective FG % 54.6% 56.7%
Off Rebound % 36.8% 36.8%
FTA/FGA 0.323 0.382
Turnover % 13.4% 13.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat UVA DUKE
Opp Points/Game 68.8 63.6
Opp Effective FG % 45.7% 46.2%
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.4 10.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 24.9 26.4
Blocks/Game 6.4 3.4
Steals/Game 6.3 7.4
Personal Fouls/Gm 17.4 15.5