Ohio St at Maryland: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Dec 4, 2024 6:30 pm - College Park, MD
Odds: Maryland by 5.5, Total Points: 146.5

Matchup Menu: OSU @ MD

More Games From Dec 4, 2024

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Early Season Warning: This simulation relies purely on current-season statistics and results, which means there isn't enough data to make very good predictions until roughly a month's worth of games have been played. We recommend you ignore this box score until January 15; however, due to a high volume of user requests we will leave it un-hidden during this early adjustment period.

Box Score Projection

Scoring OSU MD
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting OSU MD
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 40.5 66.7
Field Goal % 55.1% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 24.2 22.0
2 Point Shooting % 64.1% 67.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 44.6
3 Point Shooting % 41.7% 33.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 37.2 22.3
Free Throw % 79.2% 92.0%
Ball Control OSU MD
Rebounds 34.2 26.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 14.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 12.3
Turnovers 22.8 10.2
Blocked Shots 0.3 0.0
Steals 2.8 7.9
Fouls 13.0 29.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +1.0 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OSU MD
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with OSU MD
2 Point Attempt 27.6% 24.0%
3 Point Attempt 18.5% 48.7%
Player Fouled 37.8% 16.4%
Turnover 28.8% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 3.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken OSU MD
Shot Blocked 0.0% 0.8%
Offensive Rebound 37.2% 32.5%