Duke at NC State: Recap

Monday Mar 2, 2026 7:00 pm - Raleigh, NC
Odds: Duke by 9.5, Total Points: 150.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Duke DUKE 79.6%
NCST 20.4%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
NCST +9.5 DUKE 48.7%
NCST 51.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 150.5 Over 48.8%
Under 51.2%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off DUKE -3.0%
NCST -1.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
DUKE 79.6 80.0 93
NCST 70.4 70.5 64

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat DUKE NCST
Points/Game 83.2 83.5
Avg Score Margin +20.6 +7.8
Assists/Game 17.2 15.9
Total Rebounds/Gm 40.0 35.0
Effective FG % 57.8% 55.1%
Off Rebound % 35.5% 27.1%
FTA/FGA 0.386 0.337
Turnover % 13.2% 11.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat DUKE NCST
Opp Points/Game 62.5 75.7
Opp Effective FG % 45.5% 52.3%
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.4 8.9
Def Rebounds/Gm 26.9 23.2
Blocks/Game 3.3 3.3
Steals/Game 7.9 8.3
Personal Fouls/Gm 15.7 18.3