Minnesota at Houston: Recap

Friday Jan 16, 2026 9:30 pm - Houston, TX
Odds: Houston by 3.5, Total Points: 221.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Houston MIN 41.6%
HOU 58.4%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIN +3.5 MIN 50.4%
HOU 49.6%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 221.5 Over 46.3%
Under 53.7%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIN -1.0%
HOU -3.1%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIN 108.2 109.0 105
HOU 111.5 112.5 110

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIN HOU
Points/Game 119.7 114.6
Avg Score Margin +4.9 +5.0
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 15.9 13.7
Pts in Paint/Gm 50.4 52.1
Assists/Game 26.5 24.7
Total Rebounds/Gm 54.3 59.3
Effective FG % 56.4% 53.4%
Off Rebound % 26.3% 35.8%
FTA/FGA 0.289 0.269
Turnover % 12.4% 13.1%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIN HOU
Opp Points/Game 114.8 109.6
Opp Effective FG % 53.2% 52.8%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 50.1 48.9
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.4 15.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 33.4 32.8
Blocks/Game 5.7 5.8
Steals/Game 8.8 8.8
Personal Fouls/Gm 21.3 18.6