Minnesota at Dallas: Point Spread Analysis

Wednesday Jan 28, 2026 8:30 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: Minnesota by 8.5, Total Points: 228.5

Matchup Menu: MIN @ DAL

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ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Minnesota -8.5 Official TR Pick Minnesota 52% odds to cover
Minnesota -8.5 Decision Tree Minnesota 52% odds to cover
Dallas +8.5 Power Rating Model Dallas 74% odds to cover
Dallas +8.5 Similar Games Dallas 51% odds to cover
Dallas +8.5 Predictive Ratings Dallas 67% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record MIN adv DAL
Season 28-39-0 29-38-0
vs Division 6-7-0 5-9-0
vs Conference 17-27-0 15-26-0
Streak W1 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 1-4-0
Last 10 3-7-0 3-7-0
Home 14-20-0 17-17-0
Away 14-19-0 12-21-0

Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Away Portland -4.5 W by 4 -0.5
10/24 Away LA Lakers -1.5 L by 18 -19.5
10/26 Home Indiana -12.0 W by 4 -8.0
10/27 Home Denver +6.0 L by 13 -7.0
10/29 Home LA Lakers -7.5 L by 1 -8.5
11/01 Away Charlotte -4.5 W by 17 +12.5
11/03 Away Brooklyn -10.0 W by 16 +6.0
11/05 Away New York +3.5 L by 23 -19.5
11/07 Home Utah -12.5 W by 40 +27.5
11/09 Away Sacramento -4.5 W by 27 +22.5
11/10 Away Utah -7.5 W by 7 -0.5
11/14 Home Sacramento -11.5 W by 14 +2.5
11/15 Home Denver +1.5 L by 11 -9.5
11/17 Home Dallas -14.5 W by 24 +9.5
11/19 Home Washington -16.5 W by 11 -5.5
11/21 Away Phoenix -4.5 L by 1 -5.5
11/24 Away Sacramento -10.5 L by 5 -15.5
11/26 Away Okla City +10.5 L by 8 +2.5
11/29 Home Boston -5.5 W by 4 -1.5
11/30 Home San Antonio -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
12/02 Away New Orleans -12.5 W by 7 -5.5
12/04 Away New Orleans -12.5 W by 9 -3.5
12/06 Home LA Clippers -8.5 W by 3 -5.5
12/08 Home Phoenix -8.5 L by 3 -11.5
12/12 Away Golden State +5.5 W by 7 +12.5
12/14 Home Sacramento -9.5 W by 14 +4.5
12/17 Home Memphis -6.5 L by 6 -12.5
12/19 Home Okla City +5.5 W by 5 +10.5
12/21 Home Milwaukee -11.5 W by 3 -8.5
12/23 Home New York -7.5 W by 11 +3.5
12/25 Away Denver +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
12/27 Home Brooklyn -12.5 L by 16 -28.5
12/29 Away Chicago -6.5 W by 35 +28.5
12/31 Away Atlanta -5.5 L by 24 -29.5
01/03 Away Miami -2.5 W by 10 +7.5
01/04 Away Washington -10.5 W by 26 +15.5
01/06 Home Miami -5.5 W by 28 +22.5
01/08 Home Cleveland -2.5 W by 9 +6.5
01/10 Away Cleveland +2.5 L by 12 -9.5
01/11 Home San Antonio -2.5 W by 1 -1.5
01/13 Away Milwaukee +1.5 W by 33 +34.5
01/16 Away Houston +3.5 L by 5 -1.5
01/17 Away San Antonio +4.5 L by 3 +1.5
01/20 Away Utah -12.5 L by 5 -17.5
01/22 Home Chicago -9.5 L by 5 -14.5
01/25 Home Golden State -5.5 L by 26 -31.5
01/26 Home Golden State -8.5 W by 25 +16.5
01/28 Away Dallas -8.5 W by 13 +4.5
01/29 Home Okla City +5.5 W by 12 +17.5
01/31 Away Memphis -11.5 W by 17 +5.5
02/02 Away Memphis -7.5 L by 9 -16.5
02/04 Away Toronto -2.5 W by 2 -0.5
02/06 Home New Orleans -8.5 L by 4 -12.5
02/08 Home LA Clippers -8.5 L by 19 -27.5
02/09 Home Atlanta -8.5 W by 22 +13.5
02/11 Home Portland -5.5 W by 24 +18.5
02/20 Home Dallas -14.5 W by 11 -3.5
02/22 Home Philadelphia -8.5 L by 27 -35.5
02/24 Away Portland -6.5 W by 3 -3.5
02/26 Away LA Clippers -8.5 W by 6 -2.5
03/01 Away Denver +2.5 W by 9 +11.5
03/03 Home Memphis -14.5 W by 7 -7.5
03/05 Home Toronto -4.5 W by 8 +3.5
03/07 Home Orlando -6.5 L by 27 -33.5
03/10 Away LA Lakers -2.5 L by 14 -16.5
03/11 Away LA Clippers +1.5 L by 25 -23.5
03/13 Away Golden State -4.5 W by 10 +5.5

Dallas Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
10/22 Home San Antonio -3.5 L by 33 -36.5
10/24 Home Washington -9.0 L by 10 -19.0
10/26 Home Toronto +1.0 W by 10 +11.0
10/27 Home Okla City +9.0 L by 7 +2.0
10/29 Home Indiana -5.5 W by 2 -3.5
11/01 Neutral Detroit +7.5 L by 12 -4.5
11/03 Away Houston +12.0 L by 8 +4.0
11/05 Home New Orleans -8.5 L by 2 -10.5
11/07 Away Memphis +4.5 L by 14 -9.5
11/08 Away Washington -4.5 W by 6 +1.5
11/10 Home Milwaukee +3.5 L by 2 +1.5
11/12 Home Phoenix +2.5 L by 9 -6.5
11/14 Home LA Clippers +3.5 L by 6 -2.5
11/16 Home Portland +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
11/17 Away Minnesota +14.5 L by 24 -9.5
11/19 Home New York +8.5 L by 2 +6.5
11/21 Home New Orleans -3.5 W by 3 -0.5
11/22 Home Memphis -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
11/24 Away Miami +7.5 L by 4 +3.5
11/28 Away LA Lakers +9.5 L by 10 -0.5
11/29 Away LA Clippers +8.5 W by 4 +12.5
12/01 Away Denver +11.5 W by 10 +21.5
12/03 Home Miami +4.5 W by 10 +14.5
12/05 Away Okla City +15.5 L by 21 -5.5
12/06 Home Houston +6.5 W by 13 +19.5
12/12 Home Brooklyn -7.5 W by 8 +0.5
12/15 Away Utah -1.5 L by 7 -8.5
12/18 Home Detroit +5.5 W by 2 +7.5
12/20 Away Philadelphia +1.5 L by 7 -5.5
12/22 Away New Orleans -1.5 L by 6 -7.5
12/23 Home Denver +6.5 W by 1 +7.5
12/25 Away Golden State +8.5 L by 10 -1.5
12/27 Away Sacramento -2.5 L by 6 -8.5
12/29 Away Portland +2.5 L by 3 -0.5
01/01 Home Philadelphia +2.5 L by 15 -12.5
01/03 Home Houston +8.5 W by 6 +14.5
01/06 Away Sacramento -4.5 W by 2 -2.5
01/08 Away Utah -4.5 L by 2 -6.5
01/10 Away Chicago +3.5 L by 18 -14.5
01/12 Home Brooklyn -3.5 W by 8 +4.5
01/14 Home Denver -1.5 L by 9 -10.5
01/15 Home Utah -2.5 W by 22 +19.5
01/17 Home Utah -2.5 W by 18 +15.5
01/19 Away New York +12.5 W by 17 +29.5
01/22 Home Golden State +5.5 W by 8 +13.5
01/24 Home LA Lakers +3.5 L by 6 -2.5
01/28 Home Minnesota +8.5 L by 13 -4.5
01/29 Home Charlotte +3.5 L by 2 +1.5
01/31 Away Houston +10.5 L by 4 +6.5
02/03 Home Boston +6.5 L by 10 -3.5
02/05 Home San Antonio +7.5 L by 12 -4.5
02/07 Away San Antonio +11.5 L by 13 -1.5
02/10 Away Phoenix +8.5 L by 9 -0.5
02/12 Away LA Lakers +6.5 L by 20 -13.5
02/20 Away Minnesota +14.5 L by 11 +3.5
02/22 Away Indiana -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
02/24 Away Brooklyn -1.5 W by 9 +7.5
02/26 Home Sacramento -7.5 L by 9 -16.5
02/27 Home Memphis -4.5 L by 19 -23.5
03/01 Home Okla City +16.5 L by 13 +3.5
03/03 Away Charlotte +13.5 L by 27 -13.5
03/05 Away Orlando +8.5 L by 1 +7.5
03/06 Away Boston +15.5 L by 20 -4.5
03/08 Away Toronto +9.5 L by 30 -20.5
03/10 Away Atlanta +9.5 L by 12 -2.5
03/12 Away Memphis -5.5 W by 8 +2.5
03/13 Home Cleveland +13.5 L by 33 -19.5