Detroit at New Orleans: Box Score Simulation

Monday Mar 17, 2025 8:00 pm - New Orleans, LA
Odds: Detroit by 6.5, Total Points: 235

Matchup Menu: DET @ NO

More Games From Mar 17, 2025

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DET NO
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting DET NO
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 91.1 85.4
Field Goal % 49.3% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 56.4 53.6
2 Point Shooting % 58.8% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 34.7 31.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 33.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 27.4 31.8
Free Throw % 75.7% 78.9%
Ball Control DET NO
Rebounds 54.1 46.7
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 32.9
Rebounds - Offensive 16.6 13.8
Turnovers 13.6 14.8
Blocked Shots 7.9 5.5
Steals 8.8 8.4
Fouls 20.4 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DET NO
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with DET NO
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 26.1%
Player Fouled 18.1% 19.5%
Turnover 13.0% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DET NO
Shot Blocked 6.6% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 33.6% 26.8%