New Orleans at Dallas: Recap

Friday Nov 21, 2025 8:30 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: Dallas by 3.5, Total Points: 233.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Dallas NO 40.5%
DAL 59.5%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
DAL -3.5 NO 49.3%
DAL 50.7%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 233.5 Over 49.2%
Under 50.8%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off NO -2.0%
DAL -2.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
NO 114.7 115.0 115
DAL 118.4 118.5 118

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat NO DAL
Points/Game 115.4 113.6
Avg Score Margin -4.2 -5.7
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 16.9 17.8
Pts in Paint/Gm 57.6 52.9
Assists/Game 25.2 25.1
Total Rebounds/Gm 52.8 54.4
Effective FG % 52.9% 52.5%
Off Rebound % 26.8% 23.0%
FTA/FGA 0.282 0.288
Turnover % 12.2% 12.6%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat NO DAL
Opp Points/Game 119.6 119.3
Opp Effective FG % 55.3% 54.5%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 53.1 55.8
Off Rebounds/Gm 12.1 10.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 31.7 34.3
Blocks/Game 5.2 5.2
Steals/Game 8.9 7.5
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.8 18.3