New Orleans at Miami: Recap

Sunday Jan 4, 2026 6:00 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 7.5, Total Points: 246.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami NO 25.2%
MIA 74.8%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -7.5 NO 48.8%
MIA 51.2%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 247.5 Over 48.8%
Under 51.2%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off NO -4.2%
MIA -0.2%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
NO 119.4 120.0 106
MIA 127.1 127.5 125

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat NO MIA
Points/Game 114.7 119.3
Avg Score Margin -7.3 +0.9
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 15.8 17.7
Pts in Paint/Gm 58.2 54.2
Assists/Game 24.7 28.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 53.0 54.4
Effective FG % 52.4% 53.6%
Off Rebound % 27.3% 24.4%
FTA/FGA 0.277 0.258
Turnover % 12.4% 11.9%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat NO MIA
Opp Points/Game 122.0 118.4
Opp Effective FG % 56.7% 53.9%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 54.0 52.6
Off Rebounds/Gm 12.3 11.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 31.1 34.1
Blocks/Game 4.5 4.3
Steals/Game 8.9 9.2
Personal Fouls/Gm 20.0 19.0