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LA Lakers at Miami: Recap

Thursday Mar 19, 2026 8:00 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 3.5, Total Points: 242.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami LAL 40.0%
MIA 60.0%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA -3.5 LAL 48.8%
MIA 51.2%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 242.5 Over 49.4%
Under 50.6%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off LAL -4.4%
MIA -0.8%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
LAL 119.2 119.5 134
MIA 123.0 123.0 126

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat LAL MIA
Points/Game 114.8 120.9
Avg Score Margin +1.0 +2.3
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 14.5 18.4
Pts in Paint/Gm 51.2 54.7
Assists/Game 25.7 29.0
Total Rebounds/Gm 49.9 55.0
Effective FG % 57.0% 54.2%
Off Rebound % 24.1% 25.3%
FTA/FGA 0.319 0.266
Turnover % 13.4% 11.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat LAL MIA
Opp Points/Game 113.8 118.6
Opp Effective FG % 55.2% 54.0%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 51.1 52.0
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.5 11.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 31.3 34.5
Blocks/Game 4.4 4.3
Steals/Game 8.4 8.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.7 18.7