Sacramento at Miami: Recap

Saturday Dec 6, 2025 8:00 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 8.5, Total Points: 241.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami SAC 24.4%
MIA 75.6%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
SAC +8.5 SAC 52.2%
MIA 47.8%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 242.5 Over 51.3%
Under 48.7%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off SAC -0.6%
MIA -3.3%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
SAC 117.6 117.0 127
MIA 125.6 125.5 111

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat SAC MIA
Points/Game 110.6 119.3
Avg Score Margin -9.9 +1.0
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 14.3 17.6
Pts in Paint/Gm 48.4 54.3
Assists/Game 25.2 28.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 49.7 54.6
Effective FG % 52.6% 53.6%
Off Rebound % 23.3% 24.3%
FTA/FGA 0.263 0.259
Turnover % 12.6% 12.0%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat SAC MIA
Opp Points/Game 120.5 118.3
Opp Effective FG % 56.1% 53.7%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 55.8 52.4
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.3 11.4
Def Rebounds/Gm 30.3 34.3
Blocks/Game 4.4 4.3
Steals/Game 8.6 9.3
Personal Fouls/Gm 20.5 19.4