Sunday Jan 25, 2026 8:00 pm -
Phoenix, AZ
Odds:
Phoenix by 4.5,
Total Points:
225.5
| Game Winner Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
| Phoenix |
|
| MIA |
38.1% |
| PHX |
61.9% |
| ATS Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
MIA +4.5 |
|
| MIA |
50.4% |
| PHX |
49.6% |
| Totals Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
Over 225.5 |
|
| Over |
51.2% |
| Under |
48.8% |
| Money Line Value Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
Lay Off |
|
| MIA |
-1.3% |
| PHX |
-3.6% |
| Final Score Projection |
Vegas Implied | Actual |
| MIA |
110.8 |
110.5 | 111 |
| PHX |
115.2 |
115.0 | 102 |
Offensive Stat Comparison (Last Season)
| Stat |
MIA |
PHX |
| Points/Game |
120.9 |
112.2 |
| Avg Score Margin |
+2.3 |
+0.7 |
| Fastbreak Pts/Gm |
18.4 |
13.8 |
| Pts in Paint/Gm |
54.7 |
42.6 |
| Assists/Game |
29.0 |
24.5 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm |
55.0 |
51.8 |
| Effective FG % |
54.2% |
53.7% |
| Off Rebound % |
25.3% |
28.8% |
| FTA/FGA |
0.266 |
0.227 |
| Turnover % |
11.4% |
12.7% |
Defensive Stat Comparison (Last Season)
| Stat |
MIA |
PHX |
| Opp Points/Game |
118.6 |
111.5 |
| Opp Effective FG % |
54.0% |
54.2% |
| Opp Pts in Paint/Gm |
52.0 |
48.5 |
| Off Rebounds/Gm |
11.8 |
12.8 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm |
34.5 |
30.0 |
| Blocks/Game |
4.3 |
4.2 |
| Steals/Game |
8.6 |
9.4 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm |
18.7 |
20.8 |