Miami at Dallas: Recap

Wednesday Dec 3, 2025 8:30 pm - Dallas, TX
Odds: Miami by 4.5, Total Points: 238.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miami MIA 62.0%
DAL 38.0%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
DAL +4.5 MIA 49.7%
DAL 50.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 238.5 Over 48.3%
Under 51.7%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -3.5%
DAL -1.2%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 121.0 121.5 108
DAL 116.6 117.0 118

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Points/Game 120.7 112.9
Avg Score Margin +3.0 -3.9
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 18.5 17.6
Pts in Paint/Gm 56.2 50.1
Assists/Game 29.1 25.0
Total Rebounds/Gm 54.5 55.0
Effective FG % 54.5% 52.5%
Off Rebound % 22.7% 22.3%
FTA/FGA 0.276 0.293
Turnover % 11.9% 13.3%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA DAL
Opp Points/Game 117.7 116.8
Opp Effective FG % 52.0% 52.5%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.4 55.6
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.3 10.1
Def Rebounds/Gm 35.0 34.1
Blocks/Game 4.8 5.9
Steals/Game 9.2 8.1
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.9 20.7