Miami at Boston: Recap

Friday Dec 19, 2025 7:00 pm - Boston, MA
Odds: Boston by 7.5, Total Points: 232.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Boston MIA 26.0%
BOS 74.0%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
BOS -7.5 MIA 49.7%
BOS 50.3%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 232.5 Over 48.9%
Under 51.1%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -4.3%
BOS -0.7%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
MIA 112.1 112.5 116
BOS 119.6 120.0 129

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA BOS
Points/Game 119.3 116.8
Avg Score Margin +0.9 +6.9
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 17.7 12.9
Pts in Paint/Gm 54.2 44.1
Assists/Game 28.6 23.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 54.4 54.7
Effective FG % 53.6% 55.8%
Off Rebound % 24.4% 29.5%
FTA/FGA 0.258 0.213
Turnover % 11.9% 10.8%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA BOS
Opp Points/Game 118.4 109.8
Opp Effective FG % 53.9% 52.8%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 52.6 41.1
Off Rebounds/Gm 11.4 12.7
Def Rebounds/Gm 34.1 32.4
Blocks/Game 4.3 5.3
Steals/Game 9.2 7.8
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.0 20.5