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Friday Dec 19, 2025 7:00 pm -
Boston, MA
Odds:
Boston by 7.5,
Total Points:
232.5
| Game Winner Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
| Boston |
|
| MIA |
26.0% |
| BOS |
74.0% |
| ATS Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
BOS -7.5 |
|
| MIA |
49.7% |
| BOS |
50.3% |
| Totals Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
Under 232.5 |
|
| Over |
48.9% |
| Under |
51.1% |
| Money Line Value Pick |
Confidence |
| Projection |
|
Lay Off |
|
| MIA |
-4.3% |
| BOS |
-0.7% |
| Final Score Projection |
Vegas Implied | Actual |
| MIA |
112.1 |
112.5 | 116 |
| BOS |
119.6 |
120.0 | 129 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat |
MIA |
BOS |
| Points/Game |
120.9 |
114.2 |
| Avg Score Margin |
+2.3 |
+7.3 |
| Fastbreak Pts/Gm |
18.4 |
11.8 |
| Pts in Paint/Gm |
54.7 |
43.7 |
| Assists/Game |
29.0 |
24.6 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm |
55.0 |
55.1 |
| Effective FG % |
54.2% |
55.1% |
| Off Rebound % |
25.3% |
29.0% |
| FTA/FGA |
0.266 |
0.209 |
| Turnover % |
11.4% |
11.1% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat |
MIA |
BOS |
| Opp Points/Game |
118.6 |
106.9 |
| Opp Effective FG % |
54.0% |
52.2% |
| Opp Pts in Paint/Gm |
52.0 |
40.2 |
| Off Rebounds/Gm |
11.8 |
12.5 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm |
34.5 |
33.9 |
| Blocks/Game |
4.3 |
5.0 |
| Steals/Game |
8.6 |
7.0 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm |
18.7 |
19.1 |