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Friday Dec 19, 2025 7:00 pm -
Boston, MA
Odds:
Boston by 7.5,
Total Points:
232.5
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | MIA | 26.0% | ||
| BOS | 74.0% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS -7.5 | MIA | 49.7% | ||
| BOS | 50.3% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 232.5 | Over | 48.9% | ||
| Under | 51.1% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | MIA | -4.3% | ||
| BOS | -0.7% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 112.1 | 112.5 | 116 |
| BOS | 119.6 | 120.0 | 129 |
| Stat | MIA | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 119.3 | 116.8 |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.9 | +6.9 |
| Fastbreak Pts/Gm | 17.7 | 12.9 |
| Pts in Paint/Gm | 54.2 | 44.1 |
| Assists/Game | 28.6 | 23.6 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm | 54.4 | 54.7 |
| Effective FG % | 53.6% | 55.8% |
| Off Rebound % | 24.4% | 29.5% |
| FTA/FGA | 0.258 | 0.213 |
| Turnover % | 11.9% | 10.8% |
| Stat | MIA | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 118.4 | 109.8 |
| Opp Effective FG % | 53.9% | 52.8% |
| Opp Pts in Paint/Gm | 52.6 | 41.1 |
| Off Rebounds/Gm | 11.4 | 12.7 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm | 34.1 | 32.4 |
| Blocks/Game | 4.3 | 5.3 |
| Steals/Game | 9.2 | 7.8 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm | 19.0 | 20.5 |
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