Cincinnati at Tampa Bay: Over/Under Analysis

Monday Apr 20, 2026 6:40 pm - St. Petersburg, FL
Odds: Cincinnati by 1.5, Total Points: 8

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Over 8.0 Official TR Pick 50% odds to go over
Over 8.0 Decision Tree 52% odds to go over
Under 8.0 Similar Games 52% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record CIN TB
Season 37-23-1 30-25-4
vs Division 7-5-0 9-10-1
vs Conference 22-12-0 17-18-3
Streak Un 2 Ov 1
Last 5 2-3-0 3-1-1
Last 10 6-4-0 6-3-1
Home 21-11-0 14-13-3
Away 16-12-1 16-12-1

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Cincinnati Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
03/26 Home Boston 8.0 0-3 Under -5.0
03/28 Home Boston 7.5 6-5 Over +3.5
03/29 Home Boston 8.5 3-2 Under -3.5
03/30 Home Pittsburgh 8.5 2-0 Under -6.5
03/31 Home Pittsburgh 9.0 3-8 Over +2.0
04/01 Home Pittsburgh 7.5 3-8 Over +3.5
04/03 Away Texas 8.0 5-3 Push 0.0
04/04 Away Texas 8.5 2-0 Under -6.5
04/05 Away Texas 7.5 2-1 Under -4.5
04/06 Away Miami 8.0 2-0 Under -6.0
04/07 Away Miami 7.0 6-3 Over +2.0
04/08 Away Miami 8.0 4-7 Over +3.0
04/09 Away Miami 8.0 1-8 Over +1.0
04/10 Home LA Angels 9.0 2-10 Over +3.0
04/11 Home LA Angels 9.0 7-3 Over +1.0
04/12 Home LA Angels 8.5 6-9 Over +6.5
04/14 Home SF Giants 9.0 2-1 Under -6.0
04/15 Home SF Giants 9.0 8-3 Over +2.0
04/16 Home SF Giants 8.0 0-3 Under -5.0
04/17 Away Minnesota 8.5 2-1 Under -5.5
04/18 Away Minnesota 8.0 5-4 Over +1.0
04/19 Away Minnesota 8.0 7-4 Over +3.0
04/20 Away Tampa Bay 8.0 6-1 Under -1.0
04/21 Away Tampa Bay 7.5 12-6 Over +10.5
04/22 Away Tampa Bay 8.5 1-6 Under -1.5
04/24 Home Detroit 9.0 9-8 Over +8.0
04/25 Home Detroit 9.5 9-2 Over +1.5
04/26 Home Detroit 9.0 3-8 Over +2.0
04/28 Home Colorado 8.5 7-2 Over +0.5
04/29 Home Colorado 9.5 2-13 Over +5.5
04/30 Home Colorado 9.0 6-4 Over +1.0
05/01 Away Pittsburgh 8.0 1-9 Over +2.0
05/02 Away Pittsburgh 8.0 7-17 Over +16.0
05/03 Away Pittsburgh 7.5 0-1 Under -6.5
05/04 Away Chi Cubs 11.5 4-5 Under -2.5
05/05 Away Chi Cubs 8.0 2-3 Under -3.0
05/06 Away Chi Cubs 8.0 6-7 Over +5.0
05/07 Away Chi Cubs 9.0 3-8 Over +2.0
05/08 Home Houston 9.0 0-10 Over +1.0
05/09 Home Houston 8.5 3-1 Under -4.5
05/10 Home Houston 9.5 5-0 Under -4.5
05/12 Home Washington 9.5 4-10 Over +4.5
05/13 Home Washington 9.5 7-8 Over +5.5
05/14 Home Washington 7.5 15-1 Over +8.5
05/15 Away Cleveland 7.5 7-6 Over +5.5
05/16 Away Cleveland 8.5 4-7 Over +2.5
05/17 Away Cleveland 8.5 3-10 Over +4.5
05/18 Away Philadelphia 10.0 4-5 Under -1.0
05/19 Away Philadelphia 8.5 4-1 Under -3.5
05/20 Away Philadelphia 9.5 9-4 Over +3.5
05/23 Home St. Louis 9.5 1-8 Under -0.5
05/23 Home St. Louis 10.0 7-6 Over +3.0
05/25 Away NY Mets 7.5 7-2 Over +1.5
05/26 Away NY Mets 7.5 7-2 Over +1.5
05/27 Away NY Mets 8.5 2-4 Under -2.5
05/29 Home Atlanta 9.5 3-8 Over +1.5
05/30 Home Atlanta 9.5 2-5 Under -2.5
05/31 Home Atlanta 8.5 6-4 Over +1.5
06/01 Home Kansas City 9.5 2-9 Over +1.5
06/02 Home Kansas City 9.0 4-3 Under -2.0
06/03 Home Kansas City 8.0 2-5 Under -1.0

Tampa Bay Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
03/26 Away St. Louis 8.0 7-9 Over +8.0
03/28 Away St. Louis 7.5 5-6 Over +3.5
03/29 Away St. Louis 8.0 11-7 Over +10.0
03/30 Away Milwaukee 8.0 3-2 Under -3.0
03/31 Away Milwaukee 7.5 2-6 Over +0.5
04/01 Away Milwaukee 7.0 2-8 Over +3.0
04/03 Away Minnesota 7.5 4-10 Over +6.5
04/04 Away Minnesota 8.0 7-1 Push 0.0
04/05 Away Minnesota 8.0 4-1 Under -3.0
04/06 Home Chi Cubs 8.0 6-4 Over +2.0
04/07 Home Chi Cubs 8.5 2-9 Over +2.5
04/08 Home Chi Cubs 8.0 2-6 Push 0.0
04/10 Home NY Yankees 8.5 5-3 Under -0.5
04/11 Home NY Yankees 7.5 5-4 Over +1.5
04/12 Home NY Yankees 7.5 5-4 Over +1.5
04/14 Away Chi Sox 8.0 8-5 Over +5.0
04/15 Away Chi Sox 8.5 8-3 Over +2.5
04/16 Away Chi Sox 8.5 5-3 Under -0.5
04/17 Away Pittsburgh 8.5 1-5 Under -2.5
04/18 Away Pittsburgh 7.5 8-7 Over +7.5
04/19 Away Pittsburgh 8.0 3-6 Over +1.0
04/20 Home Cincinnati 8.0 1-6 Under -1.0
04/21 Home Cincinnati 7.5 6-12 Over +10.5
04/22 Home Cincinnati 8.5 6-1 Under -1.5
04/24 Home Minnesota 7.5 6-2 Over +0.5
04/25 Home Minnesota 8.5 6-1 Under -1.5
04/26 Home Minnesota 8.5 4-2 Under -2.5
04/27 Away Cleveland 8.0 3-2 Under -3.0
04/28 Away Cleveland 7.5 1-0 Under -6.5
04/29 Away Cleveland 6.5 1-3 Under -2.5
05/01 Home SF Giants 7.5 3-0 Under -4.5
05/02 Home SF Giants 7.5 5-1 Under -1.5
05/03 Home SF Giants 8.0 2-1 Under -5.0
05/04 Home Toronto 8.0 5-1 Under -2.0
05/05 Home Toronto 7.0 4-3 Push 0.0
05/06 Home Toronto 7.5 3-0 Under -4.5
05/07 Away Boston 8.5 8-4 Over +3.5
05/08 Away Boston 8.5 0-2 Under -6.5
05/10 Away Boston 8.5 4-1 Under -3.5
05/11 Away Toronto 7.0 8-5 Over +6.0
05/12 Away Toronto 8.0 7-6 Over +5.0
05/13 Away Toronto 7.5 3-5 Over +0.5
05/15 Home Miami 8.0 7-2 Over +1.0
05/16 Home Miami 8.0 5-10 Over +7.0
05/17 Home Miami 7.5 6-3 Over +1.5
05/18 Home Baltimore 7.5 16-6 Over +14.5
05/19 Home Baltimore 7.5 4-1 Under -2.5
05/20 Home Baltimore 8.5 5-3 Under -0.5
05/22 Away NY Yankees 7.5 4-2 Under -1.5
05/24 Away NY Yankees 7.0 0-2 Under -5.0
05/25 Away Baltimore 7.5 7-9 Over +8.5
05/26 Away Baltimore 8.5 1-6 Under -1.5
05/27 Away Baltimore 9.5 2-11 Over +3.5
05/29 Home LA Angels 8.0 8-5 Over +5.0
05/30 Home LA Angels 7.0 3-14 Over +10.0
05/31 Home LA Angels 8.0 5-2 Under -1.0
06/01 Home Detroit 8.5 9-10 Over +10.5
06/02 Home Detroit 8.0 0-8 Push 0.0
06/03 Home Detroit 8.5 2-7 Over +0.5