Pittsburgh at Arizona: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday May 6, 2026 9:40 pm - Phoenix, AZ
Odds: Pittsburgh by 1.5, Total Points: 7.5

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Over 7.5 Official TR Pick 51% odds to go over
Over 7.5 Similar Games 53% odds to go over
Under 7.5 Decision Tree 60% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record PIT AZ
Season 43-29-3 31-39-4
vs Division 15-8-0 9-12-1
vs Conference 31-22-1 20-30-3
Streak Ov 1 Pu 1
Last 5 2-2-1 0-4-1
Last 10 6-3-1 1-8-1
Home 26-13-0 13-21-2
Away 17-16-3 18-18-2

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Pittsburgh Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
03/26 Away NY Mets 7.0 7-11 Over +11.0
03/28 Away NY Mets 7.5 2-4 Under -1.5
03/29 Away NY Mets 7.5 4-3 Under -0.5
03/30 Away Cincinnati 8.5 0-2 Under -6.5
03/31 Away Cincinnati 9.0 8-3 Over +2.0
04/01 Away Cincinnati 7.5 8-3 Over +3.5
04/03 Home Baltimore 8.5 5-4 Over +0.5
04/04 Home Baltimore 8.5 3-2 Under -3.5
04/05 Home Baltimore 8.5 8-2 Over +1.5
04/06 Home San Diego 8.5 0-5 Under -3.5
04/07 Home San Diego 6.0 7-1 Over +2.0
04/08 Home San Diego 7.0 2-8 Over +3.0
04/10 Away Chi Cubs 6.5 2-0 Under -4.5
04/11 Away Chi Cubs 6.5 4-3 Over +0.5
04/12 Away Chi Cubs 12.5 6-7 Over +0.5
04/13 Home Washington 7.5 16-5 Over +13.5
04/14 Home Washington 9.5 4-5 Under -0.5
04/15 Home Washington 9.5 2-0 Under -7.5
04/16 Home Washington 8.5 7-8 Over +6.5
04/17 Home Tampa Bay 8.5 5-1 Under -2.5
04/18 Home Tampa Bay 7.5 7-8 Over +7.5
04/19 Home Tampa Bay 8.0 6-3 Over +1.0
04/21 Away Texas 8.0 1-5 Under -2.0
04/22 Away Texas 7.5 8-4 Over +4.5
04/23 Away Texas 7.5 1-6 Under -0.5
04/24 Away Milwaukee 7.0 6-0 Under -1.0
04/25 Away Milwaukee 7.5 6-3 Over +1.5
04/26 Away Milwaukee 7.5 0-5 Under -2.5
04/27 Home St. Louis 8.0 2-4 Under -2.0
04/28 Home St. Louis 8.5 7-11 Over +9.5
04/29 Home St. Louis 8.5 4-5 Over +0.5
04/30 Home St. Louis 7.0 5-10 Over +8.0
05/01 Home Cincinnati 8.0 9-1 Over +2.0
05/02 Home Cincinnati 8.0 17-7 Over +16.0
05/03 Home Cincinnati 7.5 1-0 Under -6.5
05/05 Away Arizona 9.0 0-9 Push 0.0
05/06 Away Arizona 7.5 1-0 Under -6.5
05/07 Away Arizona 8.5 4-2 Under -2.5
05/08 Away SF Giants 8.0 2-5 Under -1.0
05/09 Away SF Giants 7.0 13-3 Over +9.0
05/10 Away SF Giants 8.0 6-7 Over +5.0
05/12 Home Colorado 7.5 3-1 Under -3.5
05/13 Home Colorado 8.5 4-10 Over +5.5
05/14 Home Colorado 7.5 7-2 Over +1.5
05/15 Home Philadelphia 8.0 9-11 Over +12.0
05/16 Home Philadelphia 8.5 0-6 Under -2.5
05/17 Home Philadelphia 7.5 0-6 Under -1.5
05/19 Away St. Louis 8.0 6-9 Over +7.0
05/20 Away St. Louis 7.5 7-0 Under -0.5
05/21 Away St. Louis 7.0 6-2 Over +1.0
05/22 Away Toronto 8.0 2-6 Push 0.0
05/23 Away Toronto 7.5 2-5 Under -0.5
05/24 Away Toronto 7.5 4-1 Under -2.5
05/25 Home Chi Cubs 8.5 2-1 Under -5.5
05/26 Home Chi Cubs 8.0 12-1 Over +5.0
05/27 Home Chi Cubs 8.5 4-10 Over +5.5
05/28 Home Chi Cubs 7.5 2-7 Over +1.5
05/29 Home Minnesota 8.5 6-5 Over +2.5
05/30 Home Minnesota 8.5 10-9 Over +10.5
05/31 Home Minnesota 7.5 9-3 Over +4.5
06/02 Away Houston 9.0 10-6 Over +7.0
06/03 Away Houston 8.0 9-11 Over +12.0
06/04 Away Houston 8.5 5-1 Under -2.5
06/05 Away Atlanta 8.5 3-6 Over +0.5
06/06 Away Atlanta 8.0 3-6 Over +1.0
06/07 Away Atlanta 8.5 2-3 Under -3.5
06/09 Home LA Dodgers 8.5 3-12 Over +6.5
06/10 Home LA Dodgers 8.5 9-8 Over +8.5
06/11 Home LA Dodgers 9.5 6-8 Over +4.5
06/12 Home Miami 8.5 3-8 Over +2.5
06/13 Home Miami 9.5 3-2 Under -4.5
06/14 Home Miami 7.5 2-4 Under -1.5
06/15 Away Sacramento 10.0 2-11 Over +3.0
06/16 Away Sacramento 11.0 6-5 Push 0.0
06/17 Away Sacramento 10.5 12-4 Over +5.5

Arizona Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
03/26 Away LA Dodgers 9.0 2-8 Over +1.0
03/27 Away LA Dodgers 8.5 4-5 Over +0.5
03/28 Away LA Dodgers 8.5 2-3 Under -3.5
03/30 Home Detroit 9.0 9-6 Over +6.0
03/31 Home Detroit 9.5 7-5 Over +2.5
04/01 Home Detroit 7.5 1-0 Under -6.5
04/02 Home Atlanta 9.0 2-17 Over +10.0
04/03 Home Atlanta 9.0 0-2 Under -7.0
04/04 Home Atlanta 9.5 2-1 Under -6.5
04/05 Home Atlanta 9.0 6-5 Over +2.0
04/07 Away NY Mets 7.0 3-4 Push 0.0
04/08 Away NY Mets 7.5 7-2 Over +1.5
04/09 Away NY Mets 6.5 7-1 Over +1.5
04/10 Away Philadelphia 8.0 5-4 Over +1.0
04/11 Away Philadelphia 9.0 3-4 Under -2.0
04/12 Away Philadelphia 8.5 4-3 Under -1.5
04/13 Away Baltimore 9.0 7-9 Over +7.0
04/14 Away Baltimore 8.5 4-3 Under -1.5
04/15 Away Baltimore 9.0 8-5 Over +4.0
04/17 Home Toronto 8.5 6-3 Over +0.5
04/18 Home Toronto 9.0 6-2 Under -1.0
04/19 Home Toronto 8.0 4-10 Over +6.0
04/21 Home Chi Sox 9.0 5-11 Over +7.0
04/22 Home Chi Sox 9.0 11-7 Over +9.0
04/23 Home Chi Sox 8.5 1-4 Under -3.5
04/25 Neutral San Diego 16.0 4-6 Under -6.0
04/26 Neutral San Diego 14.5 12-7 Over +4.5
04/28 Away Milwaukee 8.0 2-13 Over +7.0
04/29 Away Milwaukee 8.5 6-2 Under -0.5
04/30 Away Milwaukee 7.5 1-13 Over +6.5
05/01 Away Chi Cubs 7.0 5-6 Over +4.0
05/02 Away Chi Cubs 7.0 0-2 Under -5.0
05/03 Away Chi Cubs 11.5 4-8 Over +0.5
05/05 Home Pittsburgh 9.0 9-0 Push 0.0
05/06 Home Pittsburgh 7.5 0-1 Under -6.5
05/07 Home Pittsburgh 8.5 2-4 Under -2.5
05/08 Home NY Mets 9.0 1-3 Under -5.0
05/09 Home NY Mets 9.5 2-1 Under -6.5
05/10 Home NY Mets 8.5 5-1 Under -2.5
05/11 Away Texas 7.5 1-0 Under -6.5
05/12 Away Texas 8.0 4-7 Over +3.0
05/13 Away Texas 8.0 5-6 Over +3.0
05/15 Away Colorado 12.0 9-1 Under -2.0
05/16 Away Colorado 11.5 2-4 Under -5.5
05/17 Away Colorado 10.5 8-6 Over +3.5
05/18 Home SF Giants 9.0 12-2 Over +5.0
05/19 Home SF Giants 8.5 5-3 Under -0.5
05/20 Home SF Giants 8.5 6-3 Over +0.5
05/21 Home Colorado 9.5 2-1 Under -6.5
05/22 Home Colorado 9.0 2-3 Under -4.0
05/23 Home Colorado 9.5 5-4 Under -0.5
05/24 Home Colorado 8.5 9-1 Over +1.5
05/25 Away SF Giants 8.0 6-2 Push 0.0
05/26 Away SF Giants 8.0 7-5 Over +4.0
05/27 Away SF Giants 7.5 3-2 Under -2.5
05/29 Away Seattle 7.0 6-7 Over +6.0
05/30 Away Seattle 7.0 1-5 Under -1.0
05/31 Away Seattle 7.5 2-3 Under -2.5
06/01 Home LA Dodgers 8.5 4-1 Under -3.5
06/02 Home LA Dodgers 9.0 5-6 Over +2.0
06/03 Home LA Dodgers 8.5 0-7 Under -1.5
06/04 Home LA Dodgers 9.0 3-2 Under -4.0
06/05 Home Washington 9.0 1-14 Over +6.0
06/06 Home Washington 9.0 1-6 Under -2.0
06/07 Home Washington 8.0 5-1 Under -2.0
06/09 Away Miami 8.0 6-10 Over +8.0
06/10 Away Miami 8.5 0-8 Under -0.5
06/11 Away Miami 8.5 0-2 Under -6.5
06/12 Away Cincinnati 10.0 5-2 Under -3.0
06/13 Away Cincinnati 9.5 1-2 Under -6.5
06/14 Away Cincinnati 10.0 5-3 Under -2.0
06/15 Home LA Angels 9.0 4-3 Under -2.0
06/16 Home LA Angels 8.5 0-7 Under -1.5
06/17 Home LA Angels 9.0 8-1 Push 0.0