Baltimore at Miami: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday May 6, 2026 6:40 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Miami by 1.5, Total Points: 8.5

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Under 8.5 Official TR Pick 51% odds to go under
Under 8.5 Similar Games 59% odds to go under
Over 8.5 Decision Tree 54% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record BAL MIA
Season 42-29-3 42-30-3
vs Division 17-9-0 15-9-2
vs Conference 31-23-2 26-23-2
Streak Un 2 Ov 2
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 6-3-1 4-6-0
Home 22-17-2 18-21-0
Away 20-12-1 24-9-3

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Baltimore Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
03/26 Home Minnesota 8.5 2-1 Under -5.5
03/28 Home Minnesota 7.5 1-4 Under -2.5
03/29 Home Minnesota 9.0 8-6 Over +5.0
03/30 Home Texas 9.0 2-5 Under -2.0
03/31 Home Texas 8.5 5-8 Over +4.5
04/01 Home Texas 8.0 8-3 Over +3.0
04/03 Away Pittsburgh 8.5 4-5 Over +0.5
04/04 Away Pittsburgh 8.5 2-3 Under -3.5
04/05 Away Pittsburgh 8.5 2-8 Over +1.5
04/06 Away Chi Sox 8.5 2-1 Under -5.5
04/07 Away Chi Sox 6.5 4-2 Under -0.5
04/08 Away Chi Sox 7.5 5-3 Over +0.5
04/10 Home SF Giants 8.5 3-6 Over +0.5
04/11 Home SF Giants 7.5 6-2 Over +0.5
04/12 Home SF Giants 8.5 6-2 Under -0.5
04/13 Home Arizona 9.0 9-7 Over +7.0
04/14 Home Arizona 8.5 3-4 Under -1.5
04/15 Home Arizona 9.0 5-8 Over +4.0
04/16 Away Cleveland 8.0 2-4 Under -2.0
04/17 Away Cleveland 8.0 6-4 Over +2.0
04/18 Away Cleveland 7.5 2-4 Under -1.5
04/19 Away Cleveland 6.5 4-8 Over +5.5
04/20 Away Kansas City 9.0 7-5 Over +3.0
04/21 Away Kansas City 9.0 5-6 Over +2.0
04/22 Away Kansas City 9.5 8-6 Over +4.5
04/24 Home Boston 8.5 10-3 Over +4.5
04/25 Home Boston 7.0 1-17 Over +11.0
04/26 Home Boston 7.5 3-5 Over +0.5
04/28 Home Houston 9.0 5-3 Under -1.0
04/30 Home Houston 9.0 10-3 Over +4.0
04/30 Home Houston 9.0 5-11 Over +7.0
05/01 Away NY Yankees 8.5 2-7 Over +0.5
05/02 Away NY Yankees 8.5 4-9 Over +4.5
05/03 Away NY Yankees 9.0 3-11 Over +5.0
05/04 Away NY Yankees 8.5 1-12 Over +4.5
05/05 Away Miami 8.5 9-7 Over +7.5
05/06 Away Miami 8.5 7-4 Over +2.5
05/07 Away Miami 8.5 3-4 Under -1.5
05/08 Home Sacramento 9.5 3-4 Under -2.5
05/09 Home Sacramento 9.5 2-6 Under -1.5
05/10 Home Sacramento 10.5 2-1 Under -7.5
05/11 Home NY Yankees 9.0 3-2 Under -4.0
05/12 Home NY Yankees 8.5 2-6 Under -0.5
05/13 Home NY Yankees 9.0 7-0 Under -2.0
05/15 Away Washington 9.5 2-3 Under -4.5
05/16 Away Washington 10.0 3-13 Over +6.0
05/17 Away Washington 10.0 7-3 Push 0.0
05/18 Away Tampa Bay 7.5 6-16 Over +14.5
05/19 Away Tampa Bay 7.5 1-4 Under -2.5
05/20 Away Tampa Bay 8.5 3-5 Under -0.5
05/22 Home Detroit 2.5 7-4 Over +8.5
05/24 Home Detroit 8.0 5-3 Push 0.0
05/24 Home Detroit 8.0 1-4 Under -3.0
05/25 Home Tampa Bay 7.5 9-7 Over +8.5
05/26 Home Tampa Bay 8.5 6-1 Under -1.5
05/27 Home Tampa Bay 9.5 11-2 Over +3.5
05/28 Home Toronto 8.5 1-2 Under -5.5
05/29 Home Toronto 9.5 5-6 Over +1.5
05/30 Home Toronto 7.5 6-5 Over +3.5
05/31 Home Toronto 8.0 9-5 Over +6.0
06/02 Away Boston 8.5 4-2 Under -2.5
06/03 Away Boston 8.5 1-8 Over +0.5
06/04 Away Boston 10.5 8-2 Under -0.5
06/05 Away Toronto 8.5 13-3 Over +7.5
06/06 Away Toronto 8.5 4-6 Over +1.5
06/07 Away Toronto 8.0 4-6 Over +2.0
06/08 Home Seattle 9.5 3-6 Under -0.5
06/09 Home Seattle 8.5 5-6 Over +2.5
06/10 Home Seattle 9.0 7-2 Push 0.0
06/11 Home Seattle 8.5 7-5 Over +3.5
06/12 Home San Diego 9.5 7-3 Over +0.5
06/13 Home San Diego 10.0 3-9 Over +2.0
06/14 Home San Diego 10.5 2-5 Under -3.5
06/16 Away Seattle 7.5 1-3 Under -3.5

Miami Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
03/27 Home Colorado 8.0 2-1 Under -5.0
03/28 Home Colorado 7.5 4-3 Under -0.5
03/29 Home Colorado 8.0 4-3 Under -1.0
03/30 Home Chi Sox 8.0 4-9 Over +5.0
03/31 Home Chi Sox 8.0 9-2 Over +3.0
04/01 Home Chi Sox 7.5 10-0 Over +2.5
04/03 Away NY Yankees 8.0 2-8 Over +2.0
04/04 Away NY Yankees 7.5 7-9 Over +8.5
04/05 Away NY Yankees 8.5 7-6 Over +4.5
04/06 Home Cincinnati 8.0 0-2 Under -6.0
04/07 Home Cincinnati 7.0 3-6 Over +2.0
04/08 Home Cincinnati 8.0 7-4 Over +3.0
04/09 Home Cincinnati 8.0 8-1 Over +1.0
04/10 Away Detroit 8.5 0-2 Under -6.5
04/11 Away Detroit 7.0 1-6 Push 0.0
04/12 Away Detroit 6.0 2-8 Over +4.0
04/13 Away Atlanta 8.0 10-4 Over +6.0
04/14 Away Atlanta 8.5 5-6 Over +2.5
04/15 Away Atlanta 9.0 3-6 Push 0.0
04/17 Home Milwaukee 8.0 5-7 Over +4.0
04/18 Home Milwaukee 7.5 2-5 Under -0.5
04/19 Home Milwaukee 7.5 5-3 Over +0.5
04/20 Home St. Louis 8.5 5-3 Under -0.5
04/21 Home St. Louis 8.5 3-5 Under -0.5
04/22 Home St. Louis 8.0 4-1 Under -3.0
04/24 Away SF Giants 7.5 9-4 Over +5.5
04/25 Away SF Giants 7.5 2-6 Over +0.5
04/26 Away SF Giants 7.5 3-6 Over +1.5
04/27 Away LA Dodgers 8.5 4-5 Over +0.5
04/28 Away LA Dodgers 7.5 2-1 Under -4.5
04/29 Away LA Dodgers 8.5 3-2 Under -3.5
05/01 Home Philadelphia 7.5 5-6 Over +3.5
05/02 Home Philadelphia 8.5 4-0 Under -4.5
05/03 Home Philadelphia 8.0 2-7 Over +1.0
05/04 Home Philadelphia 8.5 0-1 Under -7.5
05/05 Home Baltimore 8.5 7-9 Over +7.5
05/06 Home Baltimore 8.5 4-7 Over +2.5
05/07 Home Baltimore 8.5 4-3 Under -1.5
05/08 Home Washington 8.5 2-3 Under -3.5
05/09 Home Washington 8.5 8-7 Over +6.5
05/10 Home Washington 8.5 5-2 Under -1.5
05/12 Away Minnesota 9.0 0-3 Under -6.0
05/13 Away Minnesota 8.5 9-5 Over +5.5
05/14 Away Minnesota 8.5 1-9 Over +1.5
05/15 Away Tampa Bay 8.0 2-7 Over +1.0
05/16 Away Tampa Bay 8.0 10-5 Over +7.0
05/17 Away Tampa Bay 7.5 3-6 Over +1.5
05/18 Home Atlanta 8.5 12-0 Over +3.5
05/19 Home Atlanta 8.0 4-8 Over +4.0
05/20 Home Atlanta 7.0 1-9 Over +3.0
05/21 Home Atlanta 7.5 3-9 Over +4.5
05/22 Home NY Mets 8.0 2-1 Under -5.0
05/23 Home NY Mets 7.5 4-1 Under -2.5
05/24 Home NY Mets 7.5 4-0 Under -3.5
05/25 Away Toronto 7.5 8-2 Over +2.5
05/26 Away Toronto 7.5 1-8 Over +1.5
05/27 Away Toronto 7.5 1-2 Under -4.5
05/29 Away NY Mets 7.5 7-9 Over +8.5
05/30 Away NY Mets 7.0 1-6 Push 0.0
05/31 Away NY Mets 7.5 1-10 Over +3.5
06/01 Away Washington 8.5 7-3 Over +1.5
06/02 Away Washington 9.0 7-3 Over +1.0
06/03 Away Washington 8.0 4-1 Under -3.0
06/05 Home Tampa Bay 7.5 0-6 Under -1.5
06/06 Home Tampa Bay 7.5 4-3 Under -0.5
06/07 Home Tampa Bay 7.5 4-1 Under -2.5
06/09 Home Arizona 8.0 10-6 Over +8.0
06/10 Home Arizona 8.5 8-0 Under -0.5
06/11 Home Arizona 8.5 2-0 Under -6.5
06/12 Away Pittsburgh 8.5 8-3 Over +2.5
06/13 Away Pittsburgh 9.5 2-3 Under -4.5
06/14 Away Pittsburgh 7.5 4-2 Under -1.5
06/15 Away Philadelphia 8.0 0-7 Under -1.0
06/16 Away Philadelphia 8.5 2-8 Over +1.5
06/17 Away Philadelphia 9.5 12-4 Over +6.5