Miami at Tampa Bay: Recap

Saturday May 16, 2026 4:10 pm - St. Petersburg, FL
Odds: Tampa Bay by 1.5, Total Points: 8

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Tampa Bay MIA 44.8%
TB 55.2%
Run Line Pick Confidence Value
Lay Off 0.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 8.0 Over 49.2%
Under 50.8%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -2.0%
TB -2.4%
Final Score Projection Actual
MIA 3.8 10
TB 4.2 5

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA TB
Win % - All 0.500 0.606
Win % - Close 0.500 0.643
Runs/Game 4.34 4.55
At Bats/Game 32.97 33.61
Hits/Game 8.11 8.65
Home Runs/Game 0.83 0.82
Doubles/Game 1.61 1.42
Triples/Game 0.21 0.18
RBIs/Game 4.17 4.32
Walks/Game 3.41 3.70
Strikeouts/Game 8.11 7.32
Stolen Bases/Game 1.14 0.91
Total Bases/Game 12.64 12.89
Batting Avg 0.246 0.257
Slugging % 0.383 0.384
On Base % 0.324 0.336
On Base + Slugging % 0.707 0.719
Hit Into Double Plays/Game 0.73 0.94

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA TB
Run Differential -1.0 +11.0
Errors/Game 0.67 0.64
Opp Runs/Game 4.36 4.38
Opp At Bats/Game 32.97 33.88
Opp Hits/Game 7.46 8.05
Opp Home Runs/Game 0.94 1.18
Opp Doubles/Game 1.49 1.62
Opp Triples/Game 0.16 0.11
Opp RBIs/Game 4.13 4.20
Opp Walks/Game 3.54 3.02
Opp Strikeouts/Game 8.59 7.86
Opp Stolen Bases/Game 0.94 1.05
Opp Total Bases/Game 12.09 13.42
Opp Batting Avg 0.226 0.237
Opp Slugging % 0.367 0.396
Opp On Base % 0.310 0.303
Opp On Base + Slugging % 0.676 0.699
Double Plays/Game 0.69 0.64