Miami at Tampa Bay: Recap

Saturday May 16, 2026 4:10 pm - St. Petersburg, FL
Odds: Tampa Bay by 1.5, Total Points: 8

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Tampa Bay MIA 44.8%
TB 55.2%
Run Line Pick Confidence Value
Lay Off 0.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 8.0 Over 49.2%
Under 50.8%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -2.0%
TB -2.4%
Final Score Projection Actual
MIA 3.8 10
TB 4.2 5

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA TB
Win % - All 0.553 0.593
Win % - Close 0.568 0.575
Runs/Game 4.62 4.51
At Bats/Game 33.29 33.31
Hits/Game 8.49 8.58
Home Runs/Game 1.01 0.97
Doubles/Game 1.72 1.38
Triples/Game 0.26 0.16
RBIs/Game 4.44 4.29
Walks/Game 3.44 3.54
Strikeouts/Game 8.05 7.18
Stolen Bases/Game 1.04 0.95
Total Bases/Game 13.76 13.20
Batting Avg 0.255 0.258
Slugging % 0.413 0.396
On Base % 0.332 0.334
On Base + Slugging % 0.745 0.730
Hit Into Double Plays/Game 0.76 0.92

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA TB
Run Differential +31.0 +28.0
Errors/Game 0.62 0.60
Opp Runs/Game 4.29 4.20
Opp At Bats/Game 32.94 33.55
Opp Hits/Game 7.52 7.82
Opp Home Runs/Game 0.98 1.26
Opp Doubles/Game 1.48 1.53
Opp Triples/Game 0.15 0.10
Opp RBIs/Game 4.05 4.01
Opp Walks/Game 3.40 2.66
Opp Strikeouts/Game 8.39 8.11
Opp Stolen Bases/Game 0.84 0.91
Opp Total Bases/Game 12.23 13.34
Opp Batting Avg 0.228 0.233
Opp Slugging % 0.371 0.398
Opp On Base % 0.310 0.294
Opp On Base + Slugging % 0.681 0.691
Double Plays/Game 0.68 0.65