Toronto at Tampa Bay: Over/Under Analysis

Wednesday May 6, 2026 1:10 pm - St. Petersburg, FL
Odds: Tampa Bay by 1.5, Total Points: 7.5

Matchup Menu: TOR @ TB

More Games From May 6, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Over 7.5 Official TR Pick 50% odds to go over
Under 7.5 Decision Tree 51% odds to go under
Under 7.5 Similar Games 64% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record TOR TB
Season 36-34-4 33-34-4
vs Division 14-10-1 10-12-1
vs Conference 26-22-2 19-22-3
Streak Un 2 Ov 1
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 5-4-1 3-7-0
Home 21-16-2 15-15-3
Away 15-18-2 18-19-1

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Toronto Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
03/27 Home Sacramento 8.5 3-2 Under -3.5
03/28 Home Sacramento 8.0 8-7 Over +7.0
03/29 Home Sacramento 9.0 5-2 Under -2.0
03/30 Home Colorado 8.0 5-14 Over +11.0
03/31 Home Colorado 8.0 5-1 Under -2.0
04/01 Home Colorado 7.5 1-2 Under -4.5
04/03 Away Chi Sox 7.5 4-5 Over +1.5
04/04 Away Chi Sox 8.5 3-6 Over +0.5
04/05 Away Chi Sox 8.0 0-3 Under -5.0
04/06 Home LA Dodgers 9.0 2-14 Over +7.0
04/07 Home LA Dodgers 7.5 1-4 Under -2.5
04/08 Home LA Dodgers 7.5 4-3 Under -0.5
04/10 Home Minnesota 9.0 10-4 Over +5.0
04/11 Home Minnesota 8.0 4-7 Over +3.0
04/12 Home Minnesota 8.0 2-8 Over +2.0
04/14 Away Milwaukee 7.0 9-7 Over +9.0
04/15 Away Milwaukee 7.5 1-2 Under -4.5
04/16 Away Milwaukee 8.5 1-2 Under -5.5
04/17 Away Arizona 8.5 3-6 Over +0.5
04/18 Away Arizona 9.0 2-6 Under -1.0
04/19 Away Arizona 8.0 10-4 Over +6.0
04/20 Away LA Angels 7.5 5-2 Under -0.5
04/21 Away LA Angels 9.0 4-2 Under -3.0
04/22 Away LA Angels 8.5 3-7 Over +1.5
04/24 Home Cleveland 8.0 6-8 Over +6.0
04/25 Home Cleveland 7.0 5-3 Over +1.0
04/26 Home Cleveland 8.5 4-2 Under -2.5
04/27 Home Boston 7.0 0-5 Under -2.0
04/28 Home Boston 7.5 3-0 Under -4.5
04/29 Home Boston 8.5 8-1 Over +0.5
04/30 Away Minnesota 8.0 1-7 Push 0.0
05/01 Away Minnesota 8.5 7-3 Over +1.5
05/02 Away Minnesota 8.0 11-4 Over +7.0
05/03 Away Minnesota 8.0 3-4 Under -1.0
05/04 Away Tampa Bay 8.0 1-5 Under -2.0
05/05 Away Tampa Bay 7.0 3-4 Push 0.0
05/06 Away Tampa Bay 7.5 0-3 Under -4.5
05/08 Home LA Angels 7.5 2-0 Under -5.5
05/09 Home LA Angels 8.5 14-1 Over +6.5
05/10 Home LA Angels 8.0 1-6 Under -1.0
05/11 Home Tampa Bay 7.0 5-8 Over +6.0
05/12 Home Tampa Bay 8.0 6-7 Over +5.0
05/13 Home Tampa Bay 7.5 5-3 Over +0.5
05/15 Away Detroit 8.0 2-3 Under -3.0
05/16 Away Detroit 8.0 2-1 Under -5.0
05/17 Away Detroit 7.5 4-1 Under -2.5
05/18 Away NY Yankees 9.0 6-7 Over +4.0
05/19 Away NY Yankees 8.5 4-5 Over +0.5
05/20 Away NY Yankees 7.5 2-1 Under -4.5
05/21 Away NY Yankees 8.5 2-0 Under -6.5
05/22 Home Pittsburgh 8.0 6-2 Push 0.0
05/23 Home Pittsburgh 7.5 5-2 Under -0.5
05/24 Home Pittsburgh 7.5 1-4 Under -2.5
05/25 Home Miami 7.5 2-8 Over +2.5
05/26 Home Miami 7.5 8-1 Over +1.5
05/27 Home Miami 7.5 2-1 Under -4.5
05/28 Away Baltimore 8.5 2-1 Under -5.5
05/29 Away Baltimore 9.5 6-5 Over +1.5
05/30 Away Baltimore 7.5 5-6 Over +3.5
05/31 Away Baltimore 8.0 5-9 Over +6.0
06/02 Away Atlanta 7.5 3-4 Under -0.5
06/03 Away Atlanta 8.0 3-7 Over +2.0
06/04 Away Atlanta 7.5 7-2 Over +1.5
06/05 Home Baltimore 8.5 3-13 Over +7.5
06/06 Home Baltimore 8.5 6-4 Over +1.5
06/07 Home Baltimore 8.0 6-4 Over +2.0
06/08 Home Philadelphia 7.0 2-5 Push 0.0
06/09 Home Philadelphia 7.0 3-2 Under -2.0
06/10 Home Philadelphia 9.0 4-7 Over +2.0
06/12 Home NY Yankees 8.0 8-5 Over +5.0
06/13 Home NY Yankees 7.5 1-3 Under -3.5
06/14 Home NY Yankees 8.5 3-8 Over +2.5
06/16 Away Boston 7.5 6-1 Under -0.5
06/17 Away Boston 10.0 3-0 Under -7.0

Tampa Bay Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Total Score Result +/-
03/26 Away St. Louis 8.0 7-9 Over +8.0
03/28 Away St. Louis 7.5 5-6 Over +3.5
03/29 Away St. Louis 8.0 11-7 Over +10.0
03/30 Away Milwaukee 8.0 3-2 Under -3.0
03/31 Away Milwaukee 7.5 2-6 Over +0.5
04/01 Away Milwaukee 7.0 2-8 Over +3.0
04/03 Away Minnesota 7.5 4-10 Over +6.5
04/04 Away Minnesota 8.0 7-1 Push 0.0
04/05 Away Minnesota 8.0 4-1 Under -3.0
04/06 Home Chi Cubs 8.0 6-4 Over +2.0
04/07 Home Chi Cubs 8.5 2-9 Over +2.5
04/08 Home Chi Cubs 8.0 2-6 Push 0.0
04/10 Home NY Yankees 8.5 5-3 Under -0.5
04/11 Home NY Yankees 7.5 5-4 Over +1.5
04/12 Home NY Yankees 7.5 5-4 Over +1.5
04/14 Away Chi Sox 8.0 8-5 Over +5.0
04/15 Away Chi Sox 8.5 8-3 Over +2.5
04/16 Away Chi Sox 8.5 5-3 Under -0.5
04/17 Away Pittsburgh 8.5 1-5 Under -2.5
04/18 Away Pittsburgh 7.5 8-7 Over +7.5
04/19 Away Pittsburgh 8.0 3-6 Over +1.0
04/20 Home Cincinnati 8.0 1-6 Under -1.0
04/21 Home Cincinnati 7.5 6-12 Over +10.5
04/22 Home Cincinnati 8.5 6-1 Under -1.5
04/24 Home Minnesota 7.5 6-2 Over +0.5
04/25 Home Minnesota 8.5 6-1 Under -1.5
04/26 Home Minnesota 8.5 4-2 Under -2.5
04/27 Away Cleveland 8.0 3-2 Under -3.0
04/28 Away Cleveland 7.5 1-0 Under -6.5
04/29 Away Cleveland 6.5 1-3 Under -2.5
05/01 Home SF Giants 7.5 3-0 Under -4.5
05/02 Home SF Giants 7.5 5-1 Under -1.5
05/03 Home SF Giants 8.0 2-1 Under -5.0
05/04 Home Toronto 8.0 5-1 Under -2.0
05/05 Home Toronto 7.0 4-3 Push 0.0
05/06 Home Toronto 7.5 3-0 Under -4.5
05/07 Away Boston 8.5 8-4 Over +3.5
05/08 Away Boston 8.5 0-2 Under -6.5
05/10 Away Boston 8.5 4-1 Under -3.5
05/11 Away Toronto 7.0 8-5 Over +6.0
05/12 Away Toronto 8.0 7-6 Over +5.0
05/13 Away Toronto 7.5 3-5 Over +0.5
05/15 Home Miami 8.0 7-2 Over +1.0
05/16 Home Miami 8.0 5-10 Over +7.0
05/17 Home Miami 7.5 6-3 Over +1.5
05/18 Home Baltimore 7.5 16-6 Over +14.5
05/19 Home Baltimore 7.5 4-1 Under -2.5
05/20 Home Baltimore 8.5 5-3 Under -0.5
05/22 Away NY Yankees 7.5 4-2 Under -1.5
05/24 Away NY Yankees 7.0 0-2 Under -5.0
05/25 Away Baltimore 7.5 7-9 Over +8.5
05/26 Away Baltimore 8.5 1-6 Under -1.5
05/27 Away Baltimore 9.5 2-11 Over +3.5
05/29 Home LA Angels 8.0 8-5 Over +5.0
05/30 Home LA Angels 7.0 3-14 Over +10.0
05/31 Home LA Angels 8.0 5-2 Under -1.0
06/01 Home Detroit 8.5 9-10 Over +10.5
06/02 Home Detroit 8.0 0-8 Push 0.0
06/03 Home Detroit 8.5 2-7 Over +0.5
06/05 Away Miami 7.5 6-0 Under -1.5
06/06 Away Miami 7.5 3-4 Under -0.5
06/07 Away Miami 7.5 1-4 Under -2.5
06/08 Home Boston 8.0 3-1 Under -4.0
06/09 Home Boston 7.5 4-3 Under -0.5
06/10 Home Boston 7.5 7-5 Over +4.5
06/12 Away LA Angels 9.0 3-4 Under -2.0
06/13 Away LA Angels 8.5 0-8 Under -0.5
06/14 Away LA Angels 9.0 8-3 Over +2.0
06/15 Away LA Dodgers 9.5 3-4 Under -2.5
06/16 Away LA Dodgers 8.0 0-1 Under -7.0
06/17 Away LA Dodgers 7.0 4-5 Over +2.0