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Troy at Duke: Over/Under Analysis

Saturday Sep 28, 2013 3:00 pm - Durham, NC
Odds: Duke by 13.5, Total Points: 67

Matchup Menu: TROY @ DUKE

More Games From Week 5

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 69.0	Official TR Pick	54% odds to go under
Under 69.0	Decision Tree	54% odds to go under
Over 69.0	Similar Games	53% odds to go over

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	TROY	DUKE
Season	6-8-0	7-5-1
vs Conference	4-5-0	5-3-0
Streak	Un 1	Un 1
Last 5	4-1-0	4-1-0
Last 10	4-6-0	6-4-0
Home	3-4-0	3-3-1
Away	3-4-0	4-2-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

Troy Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/02	Home	Ste F Austin	48.0	48-30	Over	+30.0
09/09	Away	Kansas St	50.0	13-42	Over	+5.0
09/16	Home	James Mad	46.5	14-16	Under	-16.5
09/23	Home	W Kentucky	57.5	27-24	Under	-6.5
09/30	Away	Georgia St	50.5	28-7	Under	-15.5
10/07	Home	Arkansas St	52.0	37-3	Under	-12.0
10/14	Away	Army	42.0	19-0	Under	-23.0
10/28	Away	Texas St	53.5	31-13	Under	-9.5
11/02	Home	S Alabama	43.5	28-10	Under	-5.5
11/11	Away	UL Monroe	46.0	45-14	Over	+13.0
11/18	Home	Louisiana	47.5	31-24	Over	+7.5
11/25	Away	S Mississippi	48.0	35-17	Over	+4.0
12/02	Home	App State	53.0	49-23	Over	+19.0
12/23	Neutral	Duke	44.0	10-17	Under	-17.0

Duke Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
09/04	Home	Clemson	55.0	28-7	Under	-20.0
09/09	Home	Lafayette	49.0	42-7	Push	0.0
09/16	Home	Northwestern	48.0	38-14	Over	+4.0
09/23	Away	Connecticut	45.5	41-7	Over	+2.5
09/30	Home	Notre Dame	53.0	14-21	Under	-18.0
10/14	Home	NC State	42.5	24-3	Under	-15.5
10/21	Away	Florida St	48.5	20-38	Over	+9.5
10/28	Away	Louisville	47.0	0-23	Under	-24.0
11/02	Home	Wake Forest	41.0	24-21	Over	+4.0
11/11	Away	N Carolina	53.5	45-47	Over	+38.5
11/18	Away	Virginia	45.5	27-30	Over	+11.5
11/25	Home	Pittsburgh	41.0	30-19	Over	+8.0
12/23	Neutral	Troy	44.0	17-10	Under	-17.0