Maryland vs. Michigan St: Recap
Saturday Nov 29, 2025 7:00 pm -
Detroit, MI
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Michigan State by 4,
Total Points:
48.5
Matchup Menu: MD vs. MSU
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan St | MD | 37.6% | ||
| MSU | 62.4% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MD +4.0 | MD | 51.1% | ||
| MSU | 48.9% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 48.5 | Over | 49.3% | ||
| Under | 50.7% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | MD | -1.4% | ||
| MSU | -1.8% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MD | 22.3 | 21 | 22.2 | 28 |
| MSU | 26.0 | 27 | 26.2 | 38 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MD | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 4.9 | 4.6 |
| Points/Play | 0.336 | 0.318 |
| Rush Play % | 40.99% | 53.73% |
| Pass Play % | 59.01% | 46.27% |
| Completion % | 59.48% | 65.99% |
| 3D Conv % | 29.27% | 40.22% |
| RZ Scoring % | 86.36% | 86.36% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | MD | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.4 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.555 | 0.402 |
| Opp Completion % | 65.92% | 61.96% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 44.87% | 42.05% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 95.45% | 96.00% |