S Alabama at Texas St: Recap
Saturday Nov 29, 2025 3:00 pm -
San Marcos, TX
Odds:
Texas State by 9.5,
Total Points:
63.5
Matchup Menu: USA @ TXST
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas St | USA | 21.3% | ||
| TXST | 78.7% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST -9.5 | USA | 46.5% | ||
| TXST | 53.5% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 63.5 | Over | 47.1% | ||
| Under | 52.9% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXST -350 | USA | -5.0% | ||
| TXST | +0.9% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA | 25.9 | 27 | 27.0 | 26 |
| TXST | 36.4 | 37 | 36.5 | 49 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | USA | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 6.4 | 6.1 |
| Points/Play | 0.559 | 0.337 |
| Rush Play % | 62.54% | 60.18% |
| Pass Play % | 37.46% | 39.82% |
| Completion % | 62.90% | 64.00% |
| 3D Conv % | 44.93% | 51.67% |
| RZ Scoring % | 85.00% | 61.11% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | USA | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 7.2 | 6.2 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.592 | 0.553 |
| Opp Completion % | 68.71% | 71.79% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 48.15% | 45.45% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 85.19% | 72.73% |