Jacksonville St at New Mexico St: Recap
Saturday Nov 25, 2023 4:00 pm -
Las Cruces, NM
Odds:
Jacksonville State by 2.5,
Total Points:
48
Matchup Menu: JSU @ NMSU
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville St | JSU | 51.3% | ||
| NMSU | 48.7% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU +2.5 | JSU | 46.5% | ||
| NMSU | 53.5% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 48.0 | Over | 50.3% | ||
| Under | 49.7% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU +120 | JSU | -7.0% | ||
| NMSU | +3.2% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JSU | 24.6 | 24 | 25.2 | 17 |
| NMSU | 23.5 | 23 | 22.8 | 20 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | JSU | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.7 | 5.1 |
| Points/Play | 0.359 | 0.275 |
| Rush Play % | 53.44% | 44.41% |
| Pass Play % | 46.56% | 55.59% |
| Completion % | 65.28% | 54.65% |
| 3D Conv % | 42.37% | 38.46% |
| RZ Scoring % | 80.95% | 90.91% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | JSU | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.2 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.380 | 0.393 |
| Opp Completion % | 66.91% | 66.67% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 47.14% | 41.89% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 88.24% | 92.31% |